VMC:NYSEVulcan Materials Company (Holding Company) Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-09 - not real-time
$283.72
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Vulcan Materials (VMC) is trading at $283.72, just above the identified support of $282.93 and below the 20‑day SMA of $292.43, with the 50‑day SMA at $282.75 providing a narrow cushion. The RSI sits at 44.8 and the MACD histogram is negative (‑1.18), signaling short‑term bearish momentum, while volume is on an upward trend and the Fear & Greed Index reads Extreme Greed (90.73).
Fundamentally, VMC delivered 7.4% revenue growth, solid operating margins (15.1%) and a healthy ROE of 13.5%. The dividend yield of 0.72% is backed by a modest payout ratio of 23.6%, indicating sustainability. Yet the stock trades at a high PE of 33.6 (forward 26.2) and a P/B of 4.35, classifying it as overvalued despite a consensus “Buy” rating and a median price target of $337.5, implying roughly 16% upside.
Fundamentally, VMC delivered 7.4% revenue growth, solid operating margins (15.1%) and a healthy ROE of 13.5%. The dividend yield of 0.72% is backed by a modest payout ratio of 23.6%, indicating sustainability. Yet the stock trades at a high PE of 33.6 (forward 26.2) and a P/B of 4.35, classifying it as overvalued despite a consensus “Buy” rating and a median price target of $337.5, implying roughly 16% upside.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with bearish MACD
- RSI in neutral range, limiting upside
- Increasing volume but no clear breakout
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- 7.4% revenue growth and solid margins
- Analyst consensus Buy and median target $337.5
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Exposure to U.S. infrastructure spending
- Stable cash flow and manageable debt levels
- Potential for continued earnings expansion despite high valuation
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth7.40%
Profit Margin13.81%
P/E Ratio33.6
ROE13.46%
ROA6.03%
Debt/Equity61.25
P/B Ratio4.3
Op. Cash Flow$1.8B
Free Cash Flow$239.0M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI44.8
Support$282.93
Resistance$306.30
MA 20$292.43
MA 50$282.75
MA 200$292.41
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.73
Valuation
Target Price$329.09
Upside/Downside15.99%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.72%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.81
Volatility28.81%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.