VIVT3:BMFBOVESPATelefonica Brasil S.A. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-31 - not real-time
R$33.82
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Telefônica Brasil (VIVT3) is trading at R$33.82, comfortably below its 20‑day (R$35.88), 50‑day (R$38.79) and 200‑day (R$36.10) moving averages, signaling a short‑term bearish bias. The RSI sits at 31, just above oversold territory, and the MACD remains bearish, suggesting limited upside momentum in the near term. Fundamentally, the stock trades at a trailing P/E of ~17, essentially in line with the telecom industry average, while the forward P/E drops to about 11, indicating that analysts expect earnings acceleration.
The dividend yield is exceptionally high at 7.15% with a payout ratio near 54%, but the company reports zero operating and free cash flow and carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of ~28, raising questions about dividend sustainability. Nonetheless, consensus price targets imply roughly 20% upside, and revenue growth of 7.4% supports a longer‑run earnings outlook.
The dividend yield is exceptionally high at 7.15% with a payout ratio near 54%, but the company reports zero operating and free cash flow and carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of ~28, raising questions about dividend sustainability. Nonetheless, consensus price targets imply roughly 20% upside, and revenue growth of 7.4% supports a longer‑run earnings outlook.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support level
- Bearish MACD and RSI indicating limited near‑term upside
- Cash‑flow constraints limiting immediate dividend confidence
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Forward P/E suggests earnings acceleration
- Attractive dividend yield if cash flow improves
- Debt load and regulatory environment in Brazil
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Established market position in Brazil's telecom sector
- Potential upside to consensus target price
- Sustained dividend risk due to weak cash generation
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth7.40%
Profit Margin10.50%
P/E Ratio17.2
ROE9.25%
ROA5.32%
Debt/Equity28.48
P/B Ratio1.6
Industry P/E17.0
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI31.2
SupportR$33.04
ResistanceR$40.44
MA 20R$35.88
MA 50R$38.79
MA 200R$36.10
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index94.07
Valuation
Target PriceR$40.44
Upside/Downside19.58%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield7.15%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.23
Volatility31.39%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.