VGEA:XETRVanguard EUR Eurozone Government Bond UCITS ETF Accum Shs Unhedged EUR Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-05 - not real-time
€23.67
Latest Price
2/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
At €23.66, Vanguard EUR Eurozone Government Bond UCITS ETF EUR Accumulation shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. Relative strength is 39.4 — approaching oversold — and the MACD signal is bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at €23.50 and resistance at €24.00.
Risk comes out at 2 of a possible 10, a low reading. With 30-day volatility of 4.1% and a beta of 0.00, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 4 out of 10.
Risk comes out at 2 of a possible 10, a low reading. With 30-day volatility of 4.1% and a beta of 0.00, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 4 out of 10.
Top Market Events
Wall Street Journal18dVanguard EUR Eurozone Government Bond UCITS ETFStocks: Real-time U.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 23.98
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 23.98
- MACD momentum is negative
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- 30-day volatility of 4.1%
- Beta of 0.00 versus the benchmark
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Inception Date2025-04-08
Avg Daily Volume50,092
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI39.4
Support€23.50
Resistance€24.00
MA 20€23.77
MA 50€23.89
MA 200€23.98
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index95.48
Risk Assessment
Beta0.00
Volatility4.06%
Sector RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.