VFQS:QSEVodafone Qatar QSC Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-22 - not real-time
QAR 2.76
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Vodafone Qatar is trading at QAR 2.76, comfortably above its 20‑day (2.74), 50‑day (2.67) and 200‑day (2.51) simple moving averages, indicating a bullish price backdrop. The RSI sits at 54, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram has turned slightly negative, hinting at short‑term bearish pressure. Support sits near QAR 2.43 and resistance near QAR 2.90, leaving roughly a 9% upside to the median analyst target of QAR 3.00. Volatility is elevated at about 49% over the past month, but beta is exceptionally low, implying limited market‑wide risk. The market sentiment index reads “Extreme Greed,” which may be inflating price enthusiasm.
Fundamentally, the company posted 7% revenue growth, strong gross (45.8%) and operating (24.8%) margins, and a solid ROE of 15.4%. However, a debt‑to‑equity ratio of nearly 23x and net debt exceeding cash raise leverage concerns. Valuation is mixed: the trailing P/E of 15.3 is below the telecom industry average of 16.7, yet the DCF‑derived fair value of QAR 2.20 is well under the current price, suggesting limited upside from a discounted cash flow perspective. The dividend yield of 4.34% with a 68% payout ratio remains attractive and appears sustainable given robust free cash flow.
Fundamentally, the company posted 7% revenue growth, strong gross (45.8%) and operating (24.8%) margins, and a solid ROE of 15.4%. However, a debt‑to‑equity ratio of nearly 23x and net debt exceeding cash raise leverage concerns. Valuation is mixed: the trailing P/E of 15.3 is below the telecom industry average of 16.7, yet the DCF‑derived fair value of QAR 2.20 is well under the current price, suggesting limited upside from a discounted cash flow perspective. The dividend yield of 4.34% with a 68% payout ratio remains attractive and appears sustainable given robust free cash flow.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price approaching resistance at QAR 2.90
- Bearish MACD histogram indicating near‑term pressure
- Decreasing trading volume reducing short‑term momentum
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Trailing P/E below industry average, offering relative value
- Attractive dividend yield of 4.34% with sustainable payout
- Analyst median target price of QAR 3.00 implying ~8% upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Consistent cash flow generation supporting dividend sustainability
- High debt‑to‑equity ratio warrants monitoring of leverage
- Stable operating margins and revenue growth underpin long‑term earnings
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth7.10%
Profit Margin21.12%
P/E Ratio15.3
ROE15.38%
ROA7.02%
Debt/Equity22.98
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash FlowQAR1.5B
Free Cash FlowQAR560.5M
Industry P/E16.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI54.0
SupportQAR 2.43
ResistanceQAR 2.90
MA 20QAR 2.74
MA 50QAR 2.67
MA 200QAR 2.51
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46
Valuation
Fair ValueQAR 2.20
Target PriceQAR 3.03
Upside/Downside9.54%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.34%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.06
Volatility49.21%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.