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VFQS:QSEVodafone Qatar QSC Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-22 - not real-time

QAR 2.76

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Vodafone Qatar is trading at QAR 2.76, comfortably above its 20‑day (2.74), 50‑day (2.67) and 200‑day (2.51) simple moving averages, indicating a bullish price backdrop. The RSI sits at 54, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram has turned slightly negative, hinting at short‑term bearish pressure. Support sits near QAR 2.43 and resistance near QAR 2.90, leaving roughly a 9% upside to the median analyst target of QAR 3.00. Volatility is elevated at about 49% over the past month, but beta is exceptionally low, implying limited market‑wide risk. The market sentiment index reads “Extreme Greed,” which may be inflating price enthusiasm.
Fundamentally, the company posted 7% revenue growth, strong gross (45.8%) and operating (24.8%) margins, and a solid ROE of 15.4%. However, a debt‑to‑equity ratio of nearly 23x and net debt exceeding cash raise leverage concerns. Valuation is mixed: the trailing P/E of 15.3 is below the telecom industry average of 16.7, yet the DCF‑derived fair value of QAR 2.20 is well under the current price, suggesting limited upside from a discounted cash flow perspective. The dividend yield of 4.34% with a 68% payout ratio remains attractive and appears sustainable given robust free cash flow.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price approaching resistance at QAR 2.90
  • Bearish MACD histogram indicating near‑term pressure
  • Decreasing trading volume reducing short‑term momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Trailing P/E below industry average, offering relative value
  • Attractive dividend yield of 4.34% with sustainable payout
  • Analyst median target price of QAR 3.00 implying ~8% upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent cash flow generation supporting dividend sustainability
  • High debt‑to‑equity ratio warrants monitoring of leverage
  • Stable operating margins and revenue growth underpin long‑term earnings

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth7.10%
Profit Margin21.12%
P/E Ratio15.3
ROE15.38%
ROA7.02%
Debt/Equity22.98
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash FlowQAR1.5B
Free Cash FlowQAR560.5M
Industry P/E16.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI54.0
SupportQAR 2.43
ResistanceQAR 2.90
MA 20QAR 2.74
MA 50QAR 2.67
MA 200QAR 2.51
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Valuation

Fair ValueQAR 2.20
Target PriceQAR 3.03
Upside/Downside9.54%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.34%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.06
Volatility49.21%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.