VFQS:QSEVodafone Qatar QSC Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-27 - not real-time
QAR 2.70
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Vodafone Qatar is trading at QAR 2.695, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 2.67 and the 50‑day SMA of 2.55, indicating a bullish price structure, while the RSI sits at 61.8, suggesting continued momentum without extreme overbought conditions. Technical signals are mixed: the MACD histogram is slightly negative and the MACD signal is flagged as bearish, yet the overall trend direction remains bullish and volume is stable. The stock offers a generous dividend yield of 4.45% with a payout ratio of 68%, supported by solid free cash flow of QAR 560 million. Valuation metrics show a trailing PE of 14.97 versus an industry average of 17.16, pointing to relative cheapness, but the DCF fair value of QAR 2.18 is well below the current price, implying limited upside. The company posted 7.1% revenue growth, strong margins (gross 45.8%, operating 24.8%, profit 21.1%) and a healthy ROE of 15.4%, reinforcing its fundamental strength.
Market sentiment is exuberant, with a Fear & Greed Index of 91.3 (Extreme Greed), low beta of 0.10 indicating minimal price volatility relative to the market, and 30‑day volatility at 15.5%, which is moderate for the sector. Debt levels are notable (debt‑to‑equity ~23) but cash reserves and operating cash flow are robust, mitigating financial risk. Overall, the stock appears fairly valued with modest upside potential of about 8.6% and a risk profile that is low to moderate across most dimensions.
Market sentiment is exuberant, with a Fear & Greed Index of 91.3 (Extreme Greed), low beta of 0.10 indicating minimal price volatility relative to the market, and 30‑day volatility at 15.5%, which is moderate for the sector. Debt levels are notable (debt‑to‑equity ~23) but cash reserves and operating cash flow are robust, mitigating financial risk. Overall, the stock appears fairly valued with modest upside potential of about 8.6% and a risk profile that is low to moderate across most dimensions.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support at QAR 2.62
- Bearish MACD signal despite bullish trend
- High dividend yield providing income cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth of 7.1% and strong profit margins
- PE below industry average suggesting relative value
- Potential advance toward resistance at QAR 2.83
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable dividend supported by free cash flow
- Low beta and moderate volatility indicating stable price behavior
- Solid ROE and cash generation offsetting debt levels
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth7.10%
Profit Margin21.12%
P/E Ratio15.0
ROE15.38%
ROA7.02%
Debt/Equity22.98
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash FlowQAR1.5B
Free Cash FlowQAR560.5M
Industry P/E17.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI61.8
SupportQAR 2.62
ResistanceQAR 2.83
MA 20QAR 2.67
MA 50QAR 2.55
MA 200QAR 2.48
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.32
Valuation
Fair ValueQAR 2.18
Target PriceQAR 2.93
Upside/Downside8.60%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.45%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.10
Volatility15.53%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.