VESTA:BMVCorporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
DKK 166.10
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Vestas is trading at DKK 166.1, comfortably below its 20‑day (≈DKK 182) and 50‑day (≈DKK 188) simple moving averages, indicating short‑term weakness, while still sitting above the 200‑day average (≈DKK 160). Technical indicators reinforce a mixed picture: the RSI is in oversold territory at around 32, the MACD remains bearish, and the price hovers just above a solid support level near DKK 162.5, with volatility elevated at roughly 36% over the past month. Fundamentally, the company delivered a 14% revenue surge to €4 bn in Q1 2026, lifted EBIT margin to 3.2% – the best first‑quarter performance since 2018 – and posted a robust order intake of €5.2 bn, underpinning a strong growth narrative. The balance sheet shows modest net cash, a debt‑to‑equity of about 101%, and a very low dividend payout ratio (≈9%), suggesting the dividend is sustainable. Valuation metrics are mixed: a trailing P/E of 26 is below the industry average of 31, forward P/E contracts to 15, yet a DCF‑derived fair value appears far lower than the current price, flagging potential overvaluation concerns. Analyst sentiment is upbeat, with 25 analysts averaging a “Buy” rating and median target near DKK 200, reflecting confidence in continued earnings expansion. Overall, the stock sits at a crossroads where technical softness meets strong operational momentum, making the near‑term outlook sensitive to price action around support while the medium‑ and long‑term case remains compelling.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with oversold RSI
- Bearish MACD signal
- Strong Q1 earnings beat and order intake
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- 14% revenue growth and improving EBIT margins
- Attractive forward P/E around 15
- Analyst consensus bullish with median target near DKK 200
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Secular demand for wind energy and offshore projects
- Solid cash generation and low dividend payout ratio
- Robust ROE and sustainable balance sheet
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth14.40%
Profit Margin4.42%
P/E Ratio26.1
ROE23.20%
ROA2.84%
Debt/Equity100.61
P/B Ratio5.8
Op. Cash FlowDKK2.0B
Free Cash FlowDKK621.4M
Industry P/E30.6
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI31.8
SupportDKK 162.55
ResistanceDKK 200.60
MA 20DKK 182.23
MA 50DKK 187.80
MA 200DKK 160.52
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair ValueDKK 15.71
Target PriceDKK 187.84
Upside/Downside13.09%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.45%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.28
Volatility35.84%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.