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VESTA:BMVCorporacion Inmobiliaria Vesta S.A.B. de C.V. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

DKK 166.10

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Vestas is trading at DKK 166.1, comfortably below its 20‑day (≈DKK 182) and 50‑day (≈DKK 188) simple moving averages, indicating short‑term weakness, while still sitting above the 200‑day average (≈DKK 160). Technical indicators reinforce a mixed picture: the RSI is in oversold territory at around 32, the MACD remains bearish, and the price hovers just above a solid support level near DKK 162.5, with volatility elevated at roughly 36% over the past month. Fundamentally, the company delivered a 14% revenue surge to €4 bn in Q1 2026, lifted EBIT margin to 3.2% – the best first‑quarter performance since 2018 – and posted a robust order intake of €5.2 bn, underpinning a strong growth narrative. The balance sheet shows modest net cash, a debt‑to‑equity of about 101%, and a very low dividend payout ratio (≈9%), suggesting the dividend is sustainable. Valuation metrics are mixed: a trailing P/E of 26 is below the industry average of 31, forward P/E contracts to 15, yet a DCF‑derived fair value appears far lower than the current price, flagging potential overvaluation concerns. Analyst sentiment is upbeat, with 25 analysts averaging a “Buy” rating and median target near DKK 200, reflecting confidence in continued earnings expansion. Overall, the stock sits at a crossroads where technical softness meets strong operational momentum, making the near‑term outlook sensitive to price action around support while the medium‑ and long‑term case remains compelling.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with oversold RSI
  • Bearish MACD signal
  • Strong Q1 earnings beat and order intake

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • 14% revenue growth and improving EBIT margins
  • Attractive forward P/E around 15
  • Analyst consensus bullish with median target near DKK 200

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Secular demand for wind energy and offshore projects
  • Solid cash generation and low dividend payout ratio
  • Robust ROE and sustainable balance sheet

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth14.40%
Profit Margin4.42%
P/E Ratio26.1
ROE23.20%
ROA2.84%
Debt/Equity100.61
P/B Ratio5.8
Op. Cash FlowDKK2.0B
Free Cash FlowDKK621.4M
Industry P/E30.6

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI31.8
SupportDKK 162.55
ResistanceDKK 200.60
MA 20DKK 182.23
MA 50DKK 187.80
MA 200DKK 160.52
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair ValueDKK 15.71
Target PriceDKK 187.84
Upside/Downside13.09%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.45%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.28
Volatility35.84%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.