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UTZ:NYSEUtz Brands Inc Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-08 - not real-time

$7.72

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Utz Brands (UTZ) is trading just above a well‑defined support level while the 20‑day moving average sits marginally higher, indicating a narrow upside cushion. The 14‑day RSI hovers near the midpoint, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions, and the MACD histogram is modestly positive despite a bearish overall trend. Volatility remains elevated at over 40% on a 30‑day basis, but the beta of roughly 0.65 points to less sensitivity to broader market swings. The stock’s dividend yield of about 3% and a payout ratio under 25% reinforce a degree of income stability.
Fundamentally, revenue growth is modest, margins are thin, and the company posted a negative trailing EPS, yet forward EPS is projected to turn positive, supporting a forward PE in the low‑double digits. The discounted cash‑flow model places fair value below the current price, but the price‑to‑book and price‑to‑sales multiples are sub‑one, hinting at a potentially fair valuation. With a dividend declared for the quarter and a strategic focus on brand expansion, the medium‑ to long‑term outlook leans toward incremental upside, provided the company can sustain cash flow and improve profitability.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price near technical support
  • stable dividend income
  • elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • forward earnings improvement
  • fair valuation relative to book and sales
  • sustained dividend yield

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • defensive consumer staples positioning
  • brand portfolio diversification
  • potential for cash‑flow driven share repurchases

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.60%
Profit Margin-0.58%
P/E Ratio9.2
ROE-1.16%
ROA0.27%
Debt/Equity64.42
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow$120.2M
Free Cash Flow$92.7M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI47.9
Support$7.29
Resistance$8.68
MA 20$7.74
MA 50$7.85
MA 200$10.51
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index90.93

Valuation

Fair Value$6.82
Target Price$11.95
Upside/Downside54.79%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.04%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.66
Volatility44.27%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.