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UTRE:NASDAQUS Treasury 3 Year Note ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-31 - not real-time

$48.80

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The ETF delivers a modest yield and benefits from an ultra‑low expense ratio, virtually zero tracking error, and a beta that is near zero, indicating minimal market‑direction sensitivity. Its three‑year Treasury exposure provides a defensive profile, reinforced by a very low volatility environment and an “Extreme Greed” market sentiment that could pressure yields higher. Technical indicators are currently pointing downward: the 14‑day RSI sits below the neutral zone, the MACD histogram is negative and the recent price action is hugging a clear support level while volume has been on a downward trend. Liquidity is modest, with daily trading volumes below the ten‑day average, suggesting that large trades could move the price more than in higher‑volume funds. Overall, the fund’s fundamentals are solid, but short‑term price pressure and limited trading activity warrant caution.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • bearish MACD and RSI signals
  • price near immediate support
  • decreasing trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • stable yield in a short‑duration Treasury basket
  • low expense ratio and zero tracking error
  • moderate sector exposure with limited price volatility

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • consistent defensive positioning in government securities
  • ultra‑low beta and volatility
  • high credit quality and predictable income stream

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.15%
AUM$9.1M
Inception Date2023-03-27
Avg Daily Volume2,140
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield3.81%

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI37.0
Support$48.76
Resistance$49.13
MA 20$48.96
MA 50$49.05
MA 200$49.57
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.11

Risk Assessment

Beta0.03
Volatility2.17%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.