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USVM:NASDAQVictoryShares US Small Mid Cap Value Momentum ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-29 - not real-time

$109.26

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

USVM is trading at $109.26, comfortably above its nearest support at $107.11 and just shy of the 52‑week high of $110.84. The 20‑day SMA ($109.37) sits above both the 50‑day ($107.20) and 200‑day ($98.19) averages, confirming a bullish trend. Momentum indicators are mixed: the RSI is neutral at 52.4, while the MACD shows a bearish signal with a negative histogram. Despite the bearish MACD, daily volume is increasing, suggesting renewed buying interest. The fund has delivered a robust 21.43% YTD return, propelled by value‑momentum exposure in the small‑mid cap space. Investor sentiment is at “Extreme Greed” on the Fear & Greed Index (84.54), indicating strong risk appetite.
Volatility over the past 30 days is moderate at 10.3%, while the beta of 0.83 points to slightly lower market sensitivity. The maximum drawdown of 8.53% remains contained, supporting a moderate risk profile. With a low expense ratio of 0.29% and zero tracking error, the fund tracks its benchmark closely and keeps costs minimal. The dividend yield of 1.74% adds a modest income component to total return. Liquidity is adequate; recent daily volume (31,688) is below the 10‑day average but the upward volume trend mitigates concerns. Overall, the combination of strong price momentum, attractive valuation metrics, and controlled risk makes USVM a compelling addition for investors seeking small‑cap value exposure.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price above support and near 52‑week high
  • Increasing volume indicating buying pressure
  • Neutral RSI and bearish MACD suggest caution

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish SMA alignment confirming upward trend
  • Strong YTD performance and dividend yield
  • Low expense ratio and zero tracking error

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained lower beta and limited drawdown
  • Value‑momentum tilt suitable for long‑term growth
  • Extreme Greed sentiment supports continued inflows

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.29%
AUM$1.7B
Inception Date2017-10-24
Avg Daily Volume52,860
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.74%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI52.4
Support$107.11
Resistance$110.84
MA 20$109.37
MA 50$107.20
MA 200$98.19
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index84.54

Risk Assessment

Beta0.83
Volatility10.30%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.