USGG:NASDAQLeverage Shares 2X Long USAR Daily ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
$12.52
Latest Price
9/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
The ETF is trading at $12.52, well below its 20‑day SMA of 17.27 and 50‑day SMA of 16.37, indicating a short‑term price weakness despite a computed bullish trend direction. MACD is firmly in bearish territory with a histogram of -1.14, reinforcing downside momentum. RSI sits at 41.6, suggesting the asset is not yet oversold but is approaching neutral territory. Volatility is extreme, with a 30‑day percentage swing of 225.8% and a beta of 7.5, exposing investors to large price swings. The fund’s max drawdown of -77.7% highlights the risk of rapid capital erosion in adverse moves. Expense ratio of 0.75% further erodes returns in a high‑turnover, leveraged structure.
Liquidity is modest; recent volume (233k) trails the 10‑day average (322k), and total assets are only $13.1 M, which may impair large trades. The Fear & Greed Index at 89.86 (“Extreme Greed”) reflects a market environment that could amplify leveraged exposure. No material news has surfaced for USGG in the past two years, offering little catalyst support. Given these dynamics, the ETF presents a high‑risk profile that warrants caution for most investors.
Liquidity is modest; recent volume (233k) trails the 10‑day average (322k), and total assets are only $13.1 M, which may impair large trades. The Fear & Greed Index at 89.86 (“Extreme Greed”) reflects a market environment that could amplify leveraged exposure. No material news has surfaced for USGG in the past two years, offering little catalyst support. Given these dynamics, the ETF presents a high‑risk profile that warrants caution for most investors.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price below key moving averages
- Bearish MACD signal
- Extreme short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Underlying bullish trend direction
- Potential recovery from support level
- Absence of news catalysts
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Leveraged daily reset decay risk
- High expense ratio and beta
- Historical max drawdown severity
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.75%
AUM$13.1M
Inception Date2026-01-12
Avg Daily Volume321,810
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI41.6
Support$10.31
Resistance$29.80
MA 20$17.27
MA 50$16.37
MA 200$16.12
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Risk Assessment
Beta7.50
Volatility225.84%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.