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USGG:NASDAQLeverage Shares 2X Long USAR Daily ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

$12.52

Latest Price

9/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

The ETF is trading at $12.52, well below its 20‑day SMA of 17.27 and 50‑day SMA of 16.37, indicating a short‑term price weakness despite a computed bullish trend direction. MACD is firmly in bearish territory with a histogram of -1.14, reinforcing downside momentum. RSI sits at 41.6, suggesting the asset is not yet oversold but is approaching neutral territory. Volatility is extreme, with a 30‑day percentage swing of 225.8% and a beta of 7.5, exposing investors to large price swings. The fund’s max drawdown of -77.7% highlights the risk of rapid capital erosion in adverse moves. Expense ratio of 0.75% further erodes returns in a high‑turnover, leveraged structure.
Liquidity is modest; recent volume (233k) trails the 10‑day average (322k), and total assets are only $13.1 M, which may impair large trades. The Fear & Greed Index at 89.86 (“Extreme Greed”) reflects a market environment that could amplify leveraged exposure. No material news has surfaced for USGG in the past two years, offering little catalyst support. Given these dynamics, the ETF presents a high‑risk profile that warrants caution for most investors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price below key moving averages
  • Bearish MACD signal
  • Extreme short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Underlying bullish trend direction
  • Potential recovery from support level
  • Absence of news catalysts

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Leveraged daily reset decay risk
  • High expense ratio and beta
  • Historical max drawdown severity

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.75%
AUM$13.1M
Inception Date2026-01-12
Avg Daily Volume321,810
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI41.6
Support$10.31
Resistance$29.80
MA 20$17.27
MA 50$16.37
MA 200$16.12
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Risk Assessment

Beta7.50
Volatility225.84%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.