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USCL:NASDAQiShares Climate Conscious & Transition MSCI USA ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-07 - not real-time

$82.46

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

USCL is trading at $82.46, just shy of its calculated resistance of $82.70, while the 20‑day SMA ($80.49) sits below the current price, indicating short‑term momentum. The RSI is at 70, signaling an overbought condition, and the MACD line remains bullish with a modest histogram (+0.10). Volatility over the past 30 days is elevated at 15.5%, and the fund’s beta of 0.99 suggests market‑neutral risk. Despite a low expense ratio of 0.08% and a modest dividend yield of 1.12%, trading volume is extremely thin (13 shares traded today versus a 10‑day average of 26,950), creating a pronounced liquidity risk. The Fear & Greed Index reads Extreme Greed (90.9), which often precedes a short‑term pullback in overbought assets. Overall, the ETF combines strong ESG tailwinds with near‑term technical caution.
The fund’s tracking error is effectively zero, and there is no premium/discount, indicating tight index replication. Sector concentration appears moderate given its climate‑focused mandate, but the lack of diversification could amplify sector‑specific moves. The max drawdown of -10.6% is modest relative to its volatility, supporting a medium‑to‑long‑term risk‑adjusted case. Investors should weigh the attractive expense and ESG positioning against the current liquidity constraints and overbought technical signals.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • RSI overbought at 70
  • Price near resistance level
  • High liquidity risk due to low volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong ESG demand and climate focus
  • Low expense ratio (0.08%)
  • Zero tracking error and tight index replication

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term growth of climate‑transition investments
  • Stable dividend yield (1.12%)
  • Market‑neutral beta and modest drawdown history

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.08%
AUM$2.5B
Inception Date2023-06-06
Avg Daily Volume26,950
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.12%

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI70.0
Support$76.78
Resistance$82.70
MA 20$80.49
MA 50$77.64
MA 200$78.06
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.93

Risk Assessment

Beta0.99
Volatility15.46%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.