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USAC:NYSEUSA Compression Partners, LP Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-27 - not real-time

$25.74

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

USA Compression Partners continues to benefit from robust natural‑gas compression demand, reflected in strong top‑line growth and healthy operating margins. The recent redomiciling to Texas is a neutral corporate event that does not affect its ticker but underscores its focus on U.S. operations. However, the dividend yield, while attractive, is being paid at a level that exceeds earnings, raising sustainability concerns.
Valuation-wise, the market price sits well below the discounted cash‑flow estimate, suggesting notable upside, yet the price‑multiple is higher than the sector average and the balance sheet is heavily leveraged. Technical indicators show a neutral trend with price just above a key support level and below short‑term moving averages, while volatility remains elevated. Investors should weigh the upside potential against dividend risk, high debt, and liquidity considerations.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering just above support with neutral technical momentum
  • Elevated short‑term volatility
  • Dividend payout exceeds earnings, adding near‑term uncertainty

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • DCF‑derived fair value indicates ~15% upside
  • Strong revenue growth and operating margins
  • Improving cash‑flow generation despite high leverage

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑run demand for compression services in a growing energy market
  • Potential to normalize dividend policy and improve balance‑sheet health
  • Low beta suggests limited market‑wide downside risk over extended horizons

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth35.10%
Profit Margin11.91%
P/E Ratio26.3
ROE84.75%
ROA6.65%
Debt/Equity945.48
P/B Ratio11.8
Op. Cash Flow$425.7M
Free Cash Flow$255.5M
Industry P/E21.9

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI42.9
Support$25.50
Resistance$27.41
MA 20$26.48
MA 50$27.30
MA 200$25.92
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.8

Valuation

Fair Value$40.82
Target Price$29.60
Upside/Downside15.00%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield7.96%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.17
Volatility42.74%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.