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URI:NYSEUnited Rentals, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time

$988.24

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

United Rentals trades near $988, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $948 and its 50‑day SMA of $849, but the MACD histogram has turned negative and the RSI sits at 65, hinting at short‑term overbought conditions. Volume is on a decreasing trend, and the 30‑day volatility of roughly 66% combined with a beta of ~1.13 signals a fairly aggressive price swing profile. Fundamentally, the company posts 7.2% revenue growth, a solid operating margin of 23%, and a low dividend payout ratio of 19%, supporting the sustainability of its 0.82% yield. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of $296 versus the current price suggests the stock is markedly overvalued, a view reinforced by a modest 9.7% upside/ downside metric. Recent material news – the launch of an AI‑driven Equipment Agent on ChatGPT and the declaration of a $1.97 quarterly dividend – underscores ongoing innovation and shareholder return focus.
Given the blend of strong cash generation, a favorable infrastructure spending backdrop, and a bearish short‑term technical stance, the stock appears best positioned for investors with a medium to long horizon, while short‑term traders may prefer caution.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram and RSI near overbought levels
  • Decreasing volume trend
  • Price above short‑term moving averages but limited upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent revenue growth and strong operating cash flow
  • Low dividend payout ratio supporting dividend sustainability
  • Strategic AI‑equipment platform launch expanding digital reach

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term tailwinds from global infrastructure spending
  • Robust balance sheet with solid ROE and manageable leverage
  • Continued dividend payments and potential for share appreciation despite current overvaluation

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth7.20%
Profit Margin15.32%
P/E Ratio25.3
ROE28.24%
ROA8.86%
Debt/Equity167.47
P/B Ratio7.0
Op. Cash Flow$5.3B
Free Cash Flow$1.9B
Industry P/E30.1

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI65.2
Support$911.15
Resistance$989.97
MA 20$947.98
MA 50$848.66
MA 200$874.77
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.34

Valuation

Fair Value$296.10
Target Price$1,084.25
Upside/Downside9.72%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.82%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.13
Volatility65.59%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.