UPXI:NASDAQUpexi, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-07 - not real-time
$1.34
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Upexi, Inc. (UPXI) is trading near $1.34, barely above its 20‑day SMA of $1.33 but far below its 200‑day SMA of $3.33, indicating a weak long‑term position. The RSI sits at 54.6, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is slightly negative and the signal line is flagged as bearish, reinforcing short‑term downside pressure. Volatility is extreme at roughly 89% over the past 30 days and beta exceeds 3.5, highlighting a stock that moves sharply with market swings. Volume trends are decreasing, and the market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment (fear‑greed index 90.9) may be inflating speculative interest despite the fundamentals.
Financially, UPXI reports zero net profit, a -21.6% operating margin, and a massive debt‑to‑equity ratio above 400%, with cash reserves of only $1.6 M against $213 M of debt. The company’s revenue growth is flat (1% YoY) and margins are collapsing, while free cash flow is deeply negative. Recent press releases emphasize a pivot toward Solana‑focused digital asset treasury operations, adding a crypto‑centric narrative that could drive short‑term hype but also introduces heightened regulatory and market risk.
Financially, UPXI reports zero net profit, a -21.6% operating margin, and a massive debt‑to‑equity ratio above 400%, with cash reserves of only $1.6 M against $213 M of debt. The company’s revenue growth is flat (1% YoY) and margins are collapsing, while free cash flow is deeply negative. Recent press releases emphasize a pivot toward Solana‑focused digital asset treasury operations, adding a crypto‑centric narrative that could drive short‑term hype but also introduces heightened regulatory and market risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD signal and negative histogram
- Decreasing trading volume
- High beta and extreme short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Potential upside from Solana‑focused crypto initiatives
- Significant balance‑sheet weakness and negative cash flow
- Price still well below 52‑week high, offering limited upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Persistent high debt load and negative earnings
- Uncertain regulatory environment for crypto assets
- Low dividend yield and lack of sustainable profitability
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth101.00%
P/E Ratio-4.7
ROE-468.50%
ROA-49.86%
Debt/Equity438.20
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash Flow$-17526292
Free Cash Flow$-216210592
Industry P/E17.3
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI54.6
Support$1.05
Resistance$1.54
MA 20$1.33
MA 50$1.13
MA 200$3.33
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.93
Valuation
Target Price$5.00
Upside/Downside273.13%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta3.50
Volatility89.22%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.