UPS:NYSEUnited Parcel Service, Inc. analysis
Data as of Sep 14, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $100.28
- Risk: medium
- 4/10Medium risk
Summary
United Parcel Service, Inc. is priced at $100.28, and its moving averages give no clean directional read — the structure is neutral. The last 30 days have lost 4.7%. RSI sits at 38.2, which reads as approaching oversold, and MACD momentum is bearish. Watch $98.81 as support and $107.11 as the nearer resistance level.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 18.6 times earnings against the sector's 28.0. Sell-side targets cluster 15.8% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 7.6% on a 5.1% profit margin. The 6.56% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
The composite risk read is 4/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 22.8%, a beta of 0.83 and a maximum drawdown of 21.0%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 90 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is hold while the long-term read is buy, conviction 4 out of 10.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 18.6 times earnings against the sector's 28.0. Sell-side targets cluster 15.8% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 7.6% on a 5.1% profit margin. The 6.56% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
The composite risk read is 4/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 22.8%, a beta of 0.83 and a maximum drawdown of 21.0%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 90 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is hold while the long-term read is buy, conviction 4 out of 10.
Top market events
- The shipping courier finally looks like a compelling income play again.
- Let’s dig into the relative performance of United Parcel Service NYSE:UPS and its peers as we unravel the...
- Yahoo Finance1monUnited Parcel Service Inc UPS Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Revenue Growth Amid .
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence1/101 out of 10
Key factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 105.04
- MACD momentum is negative
- Maximum drawdown of 21.0%
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 18.6 versus sector average of 28.0
- Dividend yield of 6.56% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Trading below the 200-day average of 105.04
Long term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 18.6 versus sector average of 28.0
- Dividend yield of 6.56% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Analyst targets imply +15.8% versus the current price
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth7.60%
Profit Margin5.08%
P/E Ratio18.6
ROE29.60%
ROA7.28%
Debt/Equity189.90
P/B Ratio5.7
Op. Cash Flow$8.9B
Free Cash Flow$5.6B
Industry P/E28.0
Technical analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI38.2
Support$98.81
Resistance$107.11
MA 20$102.80
MA 50$107.06
MA 200$105.04
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.52
Valuation
Fair Value$83.79
Target Price$116.08
Upside/Downside15.75%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield6.56%
Risk assessment
Beta0.83
Volatility22.81%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.