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UNTR:IDXPT United Tractors Tbk Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-15 - not real-time

IDR 26,900.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

United Tractors is trading well below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, with the current price hovering near the identified support of 26,250. The RSI sits around the 30‑point mark, suggesting the stock is oversold, while the MACD remains in bearish territory and the histogram is negative. Volume is on the rise, indicating renewed interest despite the technical weakness.
Fundamentally, the company trades at a sub‑8× P/E and just under a 1× P/B, delivering an 8%+ dividend yield, which is attractive in a low‑beta (≈0.5) environment. However, the DCF‑derived fair value (~16,200) is far below the market price (~26,900), and the balance sheet shows a high debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeding 25, raising questions about leverage sustainability. The market sentiment is extremely greedy, and volatility over the past month is elevated (~37%), suggesting the price could swing sharply in either direction.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • RSI indicating oversold conditions
  • Proximity to technical support level
  • Bearish MACD momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive valuation multiples (low P/E, P/B)
  • High dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • Upside potential toward the 33,000 resistance zone

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Stable cash flow generation and dividend sustainability
  • Low beta offering defensive characteristics
  • Elevated leverage and declining revenue growth

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-16.70%
Profit Margin9.77%
P/E Ratio7.9
ROE12.31%
ROA6.40%
Debt/Equity25.75
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash FlowIDR18824.0B
Free Cash FlowIDR4743.0B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI30.2
SupportIDR 26,250.00
ResistanceIDR 32,825.00
MA 20IDR 30,040.00
MA 50IDR 30,130.50
MA 200IDR 27,814.00
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.21

Valuation

Fair ValueIDR 16,211.32
Target PriceIDR 32,905.56
Upside/Downside22.33%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield8.15%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.48
Volatility36.88%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.