We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

UNH:NYSEUnitedHealth Group Incorporated Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time

$384.01

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

UnitedHealth Group is trading near its 20‑day SMA of approximately $381, comfortably above the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, reinforcing a bullish trend despite a bearish MACD histogram. The RSI sits at 61, indicating momentum is still intact without being overbought, and volume remains stable, supporting the price advance toward the $404 resistance level. Recent analyst sentiment is strongly positive, with Goldman Sachs adding UNH to its Conviction List and UBS raising its price target to $460, both underscoring confidence in the earnings beat and the upward‑revised 2026 EPS guidance.
Fundamentally, UNH delivers a solid 2% revenue growth rate, a healthy free cash flow generation of $17.7 bn, and a dividend yield of 2.35% backed by a payout ratio of 66%, suggesting dividend sustainability. Valuation metrics show a trailing P/E of 28.4 versus an industry average of 27.4 and a forward P/E of 18.4, indicating the market is pricing in higher future earnings, while the DCF fair value suggests a modest 3‑4% upside, placing the stock in a fair‑valued zone.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Price aligned with key moving averages and bullish trend direction
  • Analyst upgrades from Goldman Sachs and UBS boosting sentiment
  • Positive earnings surprise and raised EPS guidance

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Forward P/E compression indicating earnings acceleration
  • Strong free cash flow supporting dividend and reinvestment
  • Consensus price target median around $400, implying upside potential

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Secular growth in healthcare spending and Optum platform expansion
  • Diversified revenue streams across insurance and services
  • Sustainable dividend yield with solid balance‑sheet metrics

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.00%
Profit Margin2.68%
P/E Ratio28.4
ROE12.18%
ROA3.78%
Debt/Equity73.98
P/B Ratio3.6
Op. Cash Flow$23.2B
Free Cash Flow$17.7B
Industry P/E27.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI61.0
Support$358.25
Resistance$404.15
MA 20$381.60
MA 50$334.51
MA 200$325.36
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.34

Valuation

Fair Value$227.72
Target Price$397.31
Upside/Downside3.46%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.35%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.66
Volatility29.70%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.