UNH:NYSEUnitedHealth Group Incorporated Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time
$384.01
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
UnitedHealth Group is trading near its 20‑day SMA of approximately $381, comfortably above the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, reinforcing a bullish trend despite a bearish MACD histogram. The RSI sits at 61, indicating momentum is still intact without being overbought, and volume remains stable, supporting the price advance toward the $404 resistance level. Recent analyst sentiment is strongly positive, with Goldman Sachs adding UNH to its Conviction List and UBS raising its price target to $460, both underscoring confidence in the earnings beat and the upward‑revised 2026 EPS guidance.
Fundamentally, UNH delivers a solid 2% revenue growth rate, a healthy free cash flow generation of $17.7 bn, and a dividend yield of 2.35% backed by a payout ratio of 66%, suggesting dividend sustainability. Valuation metrics show a trailing P/E of 28.4 versus an industry average of 27.4 and a forward P/E of 18.4, indicating the market is pricing in higher future earnings, while the DCF fair value suggests a modest 3‑4% upside, placing the stock in a fair‑valued zone.
Fundamentally, UNH delivers a solid 2% revenue growth rate, a healthy free cash flow generation of $17.7 bn, and a dividend yield of 2.35% backed by a payout ratio of 66%, suggesting dividend sustainability. Valuation metrics show a trailing P/E of 28.4 versus an industry average of 27.4 and a forward P/E of 18.4, indicating the market is pricing in higher future earnings, while the DCF fair value suggests a modest 3‑4% upside, placing the stock in a fair‑valued zone.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Price aligned with key moving averages and bullish trend direction
- Analyst upgrades from Goldman Sachs and UBS boosting sentiment
- Positive earnings surprise and raised EPS guidance
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Forward P/E compression indicating earnings acceleration
- Strong free cash flow supporting dividend and reinvestment
- Consensus price target median around $400, implying upside potential
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Secular growth in healthcare spending and Optum platform expansion
- Diversified revenue streams across insurance and services
- Sustainable dividend yield with solid balance‑sheet metrics
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth2.00%
Profit Margin2.68%
P/E Ratio28.4
ROE12.18%
ROA3.78%
Debt/Equity73.98
P/B Ratio3.6
Op. Cash Flow$23.2B
Free Cash Flow$17.7B
Industry P/E27.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI61.0
Support$358.25
Resistance$404.15
MA 20$381.60
MA 50$334.51
MA 200$325.36
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.34
Valuation
Fair Value$227.72
Target Price$397.31
Upside/Downside3.46%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.35%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.66
Volatility29.70%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.