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U:NYSEUnity Software Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-11 - not real-time

$30.89

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Unity Software trades at $30.89, roughly 14% below its DCF‑derived fair value of $35.56, indicating a clear undervaluation despite a high 30‑day volatility of 56% and a beta of 2.29 that amplifies market moves. The stock sits just above its 20‑day SMA ($28.40) and marginally above the 50‑day SMA ($28.01), while the 200‑day SMA remains higher at $32.08, suggesting a short‑term bounce could be supported by the bullish MACD histogram (+0.25) and a robust RSI of 63. Revenue grew 16.8% YoY to $1.92 B with an impressive 74.7% gross margin, yet operating and profit margins remain negative, and the company carries $2.32 B of debt against $2.14 B of cash, leaving a modest net cash position. Forward EPS is projected positive at $1.31, contrasting sharply with a trailing EPS of –$1.58, and analysts (22) collectively rate the stock as a “buy” with a median target of $35, reinforcing the upside thesis. Recent removal from several Russell growth benchmarks introduces a potential index‑driven sell pressure, but the prevailing analyst sentiment and the company’s expanding AI‑enabled creator platform provide a compelling growth narrative.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and RSI in the 60s signaling momentum
  • Undervalued price relative to DCF fair value
  • Analyst consensus buy rating and positive forward EPS

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained revenue growth and high gross margin
  • Improving profitability outlook with positive forward EPS
  • Market positioning in gaming, AR/VR, and AI creator tools

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term secular demand for real‑time 3D and interactive content
  • Expanding enterprise and advertising services
  • Potential to convert high cash flow into sustainable earnings despite current losses

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth16.80%
Profit Margin-34.99%
P/E Ratio23.6
ROE-20.11%
ROA-4.00%
Debt/Equity71.56
P/B Ratio4.1
Op. Cash Flow$481.2M
Free Cash Flow$600.4M
Industry P/E34.7

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI62.9
Support$25.57
Resistance$33.05
MA 20$28.40
MA 50$28.01
MA 200$32.08
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index94.59

Valuation

Fair Value$35.56
Target Price$35.22
Upside/Downside14.03%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta2.29
Volatility56.53%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.