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TYGO:NASDAQTigo Energy, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-22 - not real-time

$2.79

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Tigo Energy (TYGO) is trading at $2.79, well below its 20‑day SMA of $3.44 and the 200‑day SMA of $2.93, with the price hovering just above the identified support level of $2.64. The RSI of 29.9 signals an oversold condition, while the MACD remains bearish, suggesting short‑term downside pressure despite a recent uptick in volume.
Fundamentally, the company posted a 33.7% revenue growth year‑over‑year and generated positive free cash flow of $10.3 M, yet operating margins are still negative and the PE ratio of 46.5 sits above the industry average of 38.1, indicating mixed valuation signals. The DCF‑derived fair value of $5.02 implies a potential upside of roughly 145%, and the recent delivery of U.S.–assembled MLPEs to EG4 Electronics – qualifying for domestic content tax credits – provides a tangible growth catalyst.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • RSI indicates oversold conditions
  • Price is near immediate support
  • Increasing trading volume suggests potential bounce

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • DCF upside of >140% to fair value
  • Strong revenue growth and positive free cash flow
  • Domestic‑content tax‑credit qualified delivery to EG4

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term solar adoption trends supporting demand
  • Scalable product portfolio (MLPE, storage, EV charger)
  • Solid ROE (15%) and expanding cash position

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth33.70%
Profit Margin3.07%
P/E Ratio46.5
ROE15.11%
ROA-2.52%
Debt/Equity6.07
P/B Ratio7.1
Op. Cash Flow$1.6M
Free Cash Flow$10.3M
Industry P/E38.1

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI29.9
Support$2.64
Resistance$4.31
MA 20$3.44
MA 50$3.97
MA 200$2.92
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Valuation

Fair Value$5.02
Target Price$6.85
Upside/Downside145.52%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.78
Volatility58.90%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.