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TXUG:NASDAQThornburg International Growth Fund ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-06 - not real-time

$26.56

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The ETF is trading at its 52‑week high of $26.56, right at the calculated resistance level of $26.56 and just above the 20‑day SMA of $25.95, indicating limited upside in the immediate term. Momentum indicators are mixed: the RSI sits at 62 % (still bullish but edging toward overbought) while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is marked bearish, suggesting a potential short‑term pullback. Volume is on a decreasing trend (average 130‑363 shares versus a current volume of 1), and 30‑day volatility is high at 25.5 %, underscoring liquidity and price‑swing risks. However, the fund benefits from a low tracking error (0 %), no premium/discount, a modest expense ratio of 0.7 %, and a YTD return of 6.03 % amid an “Extreme Greed” market sentiment (Fear & Greed Index 90.38).
Overall, the ETF appears poised for a neutral to slightly bearish short‑term outlook, while its international large‑cap growth exposure offers medium‑to‑long‑term upside if the broader market sentiment remains positive.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price at resistance with limited upside
  • Bearish MACD histogram and decreasing volume
  • High short‑term volatility (25.5 %)

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • RSI still in bullish zone (62 %)
  • YTD return of 6.03 % and favorable market sentiment
  • Exposure to international large‑cap growth sectors

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified foreign large‑growth holdings
  • Competitive expense ratio (0.7 %) and low tracking error
  • Potential for capital appreciation despite higher volatility

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.70%
AUM$5.2M
Inception Date2025-01-22
Avg Daily Volume130
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.48%

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI62.4
Support$25.19
Resistance$26.56
MA 20$25.95
MA 50$24.87
MA 200$25.12
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.38

Risk Assessment

Beta1.06
Volatility25.51%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.