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TXO:NYSETXO Partners, L.P. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

$13.17

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

TXO is trading just below its short‑term moving average, with price hugging a clear support level while facing a modest resistance ceiling. The 14‑day RSI sits near the midpoint, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions, and the MACD histogram is negative, indicating short‑term bearish momentum despite an overall bullish trend direction. Volume has been picking up and volatility remains elevated, aligning with the market’s “extreme greed” sentiment.
Fundamentally, the company shows a stark contrast between a strong dividend yield and deteriorating profitability, highlighted by negative trailing earnings and a modest forward earnings outlook. The forward P/E is well below the industry average, and the discounted cash‑flow model places fair value above the current price, implying upside potential. However, high leverage, a sizable debt load, and negative free cash flow raise concerns about the sustainability of the dividend and long‑term cash generation.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price near immediate support
  • negative MACD histogram
  • elevated volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value above market price
  • forward P/E advantage vs peers
  • high dividend yield attracting income seekers

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • potential upside to analyst target range
  • value‑oriented pricing relative to industry
  • asset base in prolific North American basins

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-66.50%
Profit Margin-28.52%
P/E Ratio13.6
ROE-16.49%
ROA-5.55%
Debt/Equity45.84
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow$121.0M
Free Cash Flow$-117653000
Industry P/E21.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI50.6
Support$12.39
Resistance$14.14
MA 20$13.33
MA 50$12.73
MA 200$12.64
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair Value$15.42
Target Price$21.00
Upside/Downside59.45%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield11.09%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.08
Volatility32.83%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.