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TXG:NASDAQ10x Genomics, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-06 - not real-time

$22.74

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

10x Genomics trades around $22.74, just below its 20‑day SMA of $22.99 but comfortably above the 50‑day SMA of $21.51, indicating a short‑term pull‑back potential within a broader bullish trend. Technicals show a bearish MACD divergence (MACD line below signal) and a neutral RSI near 53, while the stock’s beta of 2.3 and 30‑day volatility of ~65% signal heightened price swings. Fundamentally, the company’s forward P/E of 113.7 dwarfs the industry average of 26.8, and margins remain negative, with operating margin at –9.4% and a modest revenue growth of 0.6%.
Recent analyst sentiment turned positive as William Blair upgraded the rating to Outperform, and the launch of the Atera spatial‑biology platform has sparked a 14.6% price rally, supporting a modest upside of about 5‑6% versus the DCF‑derived fair value of $19.08. However, the lack of dividend, high valuation multiples, and considerable regulatory and sector risks temper enthusiasm, suggesting a cautious stance pending clearer earnings momentum.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD divergence suggests possible near‑term pullback
  • Recent analyst upgrade and product launch provide upside catalyst
  • High beta and volatility increase short‑term price risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price above 50‑day SMA and bullish trend direction
  • Atera platform expansion broadens addressable market
  • Modest upside relative to DCF fair value and analyst price targets

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic positioning in single‑cell and spatial genomics markets
  • Strong cash position (~$524 M) versus modest debt
  • Potential for margin improvement as scale and new product lines mature

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth0.60%
Profit Margin-6.77%
P/E Ratio113.7
ROE-5.78%
ROA-6.40%
Debt/Equity10.59
P/B Ratio3.6
Op. Cash Flow$136.1M
Free Cash Flow$148.4M
Industry P/E26.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI53.0
Support$19.53
Resistance$26.44
MA 20$23.00
MA 50$21.51
MA 200$17.09
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index90.38

Valuation

Fair Value$19.08
Target Price$24.00
Upside/Downside5.54%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta2.32
Volatility64.68%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.