TX:NYSETernium S.A. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-31 - not real-time
$54.90
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Ternium S.A. is priced at $54.90 and its moving averages line up in bullish order, the shorter sitting above the longer. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 23.3%. RSI sits at 63.1, which reads as approaching overbought, and MACD momentum is bearish. Recent trading has carved out support near $50.00 and resistance around $58.24.
Multiples put this in fair territory at a P/E of 15.3. Analyst price targets sit 6.1% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 10.0% on a 4.4% profit margin. The 4.01% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 6 — elevated. With 30-day volatility of 31.1%, a beta of 1.04 and a maximum drawdown of 18.9%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on buy — conviction 4 out of 10.
Multiples put this in fair territory at a P/E of 15.3. Analyst price targets sit 6.1% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 10.0% on a 4.4% profit margin. The 4.01% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 6 — elevated. With 30-day volatility of 31.1%, a beta of 1.04 and a maximum drawdown of 18.9%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on buy — conviction 4 out of 10.
Top Market Events
Ternium S.A. TX is set to release second-quarter 2026 results after the closing bell on Aug. 4. The company beat the...Strong quarterly performance driven by improved shipments and margins, despite ongoing trade policy uncertainty and a...Operating income more than doubled to $528 million as Mexican shipment volumes and cost-to-price spreads widened, a 16.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 43.61
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Dividend yield of 4.01% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Trading above the 200-day average of 43.61
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Dividend yield of 4.01% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Analyst targets imply +6.1% versus the current price
- Revenue growth of +10.0%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth10.00%
Profit Margin4.37%
P/E Ratio15.3
ROE4.43%
ROA3.08%
Debt/Equity18.23
Op. Cash Flow$1.5B
Free Cash Flow$-884949120
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI63.1
Support$50.00
Resistance$58.24
MA 20$54.25
MA 50$48.88
MA 200$43.61
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.16
Valuation
Fair Value$105.50
Target Price$58.23
Upside/Downside6.07%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.01%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.04
Volatility31.11%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.