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TVTX:NASDAQTravere Therapeutics, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-06 - not real-time

$44.76

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

FDA approval of FILSPARI for FSGS ignited an 88% YoY sales jump to $105 M and lifted TVTX’s share price to $44.76, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 39.87 and 50‑day SMA of 33.15, signalling a bullish trend. The MACD line sits above its signal (3.33 vs 3.08) while the RSI is at 72, indicating strong upward momentum but also an overbought condition; support sits at $28.29 with resistance near $48.61.
Valuation looks attractive with a forward P/E of 8.87 versus the industry average of 26.80, yet a lofty P/B of 35.44 and a debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeding 330% highlight balance‑sheet strain. Analysts collectively rate the stock as a strong buy with a median price target of $53.50, reflecting confidence in the growth trajectory despite cash‑flow and leverage concerns.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Recent FDA full approval expanding addressable market
  • Technical bullish indicators (price above SMAs, MACD bullish)
  • Analyst consensus strong‑buy and upside potential

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained revenue growth and expanding sales of FILSPARI
  • Forward P/E advantage relative to industry peers
  • Need to manage high leverage and improve cash flow

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term market potential in rare kidney diseases
  • Balance‑sheet risk from elevated debt‑to‑equity ratio
  • Uncertainty around pipeline success beyond current products

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth55.60%
Profit Margin-4.00%
P/E Ratio8.9
ROE-69.38%
ROA-6.46%
Debt/Equity331.88
P/B Ratio35.4
Industry P/E26.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI72.0
Support$28.29
Resistance$48.61
MA 20$39.87
MA 50$33.15
MA 200$29.20
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.38

Valuation

Target Price$52.50
Upside/Downside17.29%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.77
Volatility104.66%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.