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TVGN:NASDAQTevogen Bio Holdings Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-01 - not real-time

$7.05

Latest Price

9/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Tevogen Inc. (TVGN) is trading at $7.05, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of $5.13 but still below the 50‑day SMA of $7.49, indicating a short‑term bounce within a broader bearish framework (price < 200‑day SMA of $13.47). The RSI sits at 60, suggesting modest upward momentum, while the MACD histogram is positive and the signal line is labeled bullish, offering a technical hint of upside. However, the stock exhibits extreme 30‑day volatility of 143% and a high beta of ~2.0, underscoring pronounced price swings. Fundamentally, TVGN reports zero revenue, negative EBITDA of $‑21.0 M, and a cash deficit with $0.69 M cash versus $9.47 M debt, resulting in a negative book value per share ($‑4.47) and a negative price‑to‑book ratio. Recent corporate news highlights an upcoming annual meeting and ongoing strategic acquisition initiatives that could eventually support up to $100 M in combined annual revenue, providing a potential catalyst amid the current financial distress.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price above 20‑day SMA but below 50‑day SMA indicating mixed technical signals
  • Extreme short‑term volatility and high beta
  • Pending acquisition news that could spark short‑term interest

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Ongoing strategic acquisitions aimed at generating future revenue
  • Continued cash burn and negative earnings limiting financial stability
  • Technical bullish MACD signal versus bearish overall trend

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Pipeline of off‑the‑shelf T‑cell therapies with potential high‑impact indications
  • Acquisition strategy that may eventually create a sustainable revenue base
  • Current market price offers speculative upside despite weak fundamentals

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

ROA-294.43%
P/B Ratio-1.6
Op. Cash Flow$-11754283
Free Cash Flow$-3168028
Industry P/E29.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI60.2
Support$3.64
Resistance$7.42
MA 20$5.13
MA 50$7.49
MA 200$13.47
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.88

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta2.04
Volatility143.40%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.