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TVE:NYSETennessee Valley Authority Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-02 - not real-time

$23.66

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The security is trading at $23.66, just above the immediate support level of $23.39 and shy of the near‑term resistance at $23.70. It sits marginally above the 20‑day SMA ($23.57) and 50‑day SMA ($23.54) while the 200‑day SMA ($24.04) remains higher, indicating a neutral short‑term bias but a slightly bearish longer‑term outlook. Technicals are mixed: the MACD is bullish (line above signal) and the RSI at 58 suggests modest momentum without being overbought, and volume is on an increasing trend.
Beta is exceptionally low at 0.10 and 30‑day volatility is modest at 4.5%, implying limited price swings and low systemic risk. The Fear & Greed Index reads 92.9 – “Extreme Greed” – highlighting market optimism that may be overstated. Analyst consensus (11 analysts) rates the issue as a “buy” yet the mean target price of $5.23 is dramatically below the current level, flagging a substantial valuation disconnect. No dividend is paid, so dividend sustainability is absent.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • price holding just above support
  • bullish MACD histogram
  • increasing volume supporting upward pressure

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • low beta and modest volatility reducing downside risk
  • analyst consensus rating of "buy"
  • potential correction from extreme greed sentiment

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • valuation gap suggesting price may realign toward lower target
  • stable utility‑type exposure with low regulatory volatility
  • absence of dividend but strong cash‑flow profile typical of utility assets

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio14.9

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI58.2
Support$23.39
Resistance$23.70
MA 20$23.57
MA 50$23.54
MA 200$24.04
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88

Valuation

Target Price$5.23
Upside/Downside-77.90%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.10
Volatility4.50%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.