TVE:NYSETennessee Valley Authority Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-06 - not real-time
$23.86
Latest Price
3/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
The stock is trading just below its short‑term moving averages, indicating a modest bearish tilt, while the RSI sits in the low‑30s, hinting at potential oversold conditions. Volume has been on a downtrend, suggesting waning short‑term participation, yet the MACD remains in bearish territory, reinforcing the cautious outlook. The beta is near zero, which points to very low market‑related volatility, and the 30‑day price swing is moderate, keeping overall price swings contained. Market sentiment is extremely bullish, as reflected by a fear‑and‑greed index deep in the “Extreme Greed” zone, and analysts collectively rate the stock as a buy with a median target far below the current price.
Despite the lack of dividend payouts and zero operating fundamentals, the instrument’s fixed‑income‑like profile and low volatility make it attractive for defensive positioning. The price is hovering just above a recent support level and below a modest resistance ceiling, offering a narrow trading range that could tighten as the 2029 maturity approaches.
Despite the lack of dividend payouts and zero operating fundamentals, the instrument’s fixed‑income‑like profile and low volatility make it attractive for defensive positioning. The price is hovering just above a recent support level and below a modest resistance ceiling, offering a narrow trading range that could tighten as the 2029 maturity approaches.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price sitting just above recent support
- Low beta and moderate volatility
- Bearish MACD and decreasing volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Analyst consensus of buy
- Low market sensitivity (beta near zero)
- Potential rebound toward moving‑average levels
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Fixed‑maturity profile ending in 2029
- Absence of growth drivers or dividend yield
- Stable regulatory environment for a government‑linked entity
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
P/E Ratio15.0
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI37.3
Support$23.75
Resistance$24.45
MA 20$24.08
MA 50$24.13
MA 200$24.07
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.38
Valuation
Target Price$5.23
Upside/Downside-78.08%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.09
Volatility6.80%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.