We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

TVE:NYSETennessee Valley Authority Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-06 - not real-time

$23.86

Latest Price

3/10Risk

Risk Level: Low

Executive Summary

The stock is trading just below its short‑term moving averages, indicating a modest bearish tilt, while the RSI sits in the low‑30s, hinting at potential oversold conditions. Volume has been on a downtrend, suggesting waning short‑term participation, yet the MACD remains in bearish territory, reinforcing the cautious outlook. The beta is near zero, which points to very low market‑related volatility, and the 30‑day price swing is moderate, keeping overall price swings contained. Market sentiment is extremely bullish, as reflected by a fear‑and‑greed index deep in the “Extreme Greed” zone, and analysts collectively rate the stock as a buy with a median target far below the current price.
Despite the lack of dividend payouts and zero operating fundamentals, the instrument’s fixed‑income‑like profile and low volatility make it attractive for defensive positioning. The price is hovering just above a recent support level and below a modest resistance ceiling, offering a narrow trading range that could tighten as the 2029 maturity approaches.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price sitting just above recent support
  • Low beta and moderate volatility
  • Bearish MACD and decreasing volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst consensus of buy
  • Low market sensitivity (beta near zero)
  • Potential rebound toward moving‑average levels

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Fixed‑maturity profile ending in 2029
  • Absence of growth drivers or dividend yield
  • Stable regulatory environment for a government‑linked entity

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio15.0

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI37.3
Support$23.75
Resistance$24.45
MA 20$24.08
MA 50$24.13
MA 200$24.07
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.38

Valuation

Target Price$5.23
Upside/Downside-78.08%
GradeFair
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.09
Volatility6.80%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.