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TVC:NYSETennessee Valley Authority Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-22 - not real-time

$23.94

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading at $23.94, just below the 20‑day SMA of 23.96 and the 50‑day SMA of 24.13, indicating a bearish technical bias. RSI sits at 44.9, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram turned positive (0.015) but the MACD line remains negative, hinting at a tentative short‑term bounce. Volume is trending upward, providing some support for the price, and the Fear & Greed Index reads Extreme Greed at 91.46, which may attract speculative buying despite the downtrend.
Fundamentally, TVC shows modest revenue growth of 4.4% and respectable operating margins (17.4%), yet the balance sheet is strained with a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 130 and negative free cash flow of roughly $1.4 B. The company pays no dividend, has zero earnings per share, and lacks a meaningful market‑cap valuation, making it appear overvalued relative to its cash‑generating capacity and risk profile.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering near technical support
  • Increasing volume despite bearish trend
  • Neutral momentum indicated by RSI

Medium Term

1–3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • High debt load (debt‑to‑equity >130)
  • Negative free cash flow
  • Absence of earnings and dividend

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Unsustainable capital structure
  • Regulatory exposure in the utility sector
  • Lack of growth catalysts and dividend

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.40%
Profit Margin10.88%
ROE8.32%
ROA2.78%
Debt/Equity131.71
Op. Cash Flow$3.2B
Free Cash Flow$-1405874944

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI44.9
Support$23.83
Resistance$24.10
MA 20$23.96
MA 50$24.13
MA 200$24.17
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.13
Volatility5.42%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.