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TVC:NYSETennessee Valley Authority Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-27 - not real-time

$24.08

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

TVC is trading at $24.08, just below its 20‑day (24.12), 50‑day (24.25) and 200‑day (24.16) moving averages, indicating modest bearish pressure. The RSI sits at 45.7 and the MACD histogram is slightly negative, suggesting neutral‑to‑negative momentum, while daily volume has fallen to 4,792 against a 10‑day average of 8,310, raising liquidity concerns. The price is sandwiched between a support level of $23.83 and resistance at $24.35, limiting immediate upside.
Fundamentally, the firm posts $13.8 B in revenue with 4.4 % growth and solid margins (gross 40.9 %, operating 17.4 %, profit 10.9 %), yet it carries $24.7 B of debt versus $0.5 B cash, yielding a debt‑to‑equity of 132 and negative free cash flow of $‑1.4 B, which strains financial flexibility. No dividend is paid and EPS is not reported, limiting traditional valuation anchors. A low beta of 0.14 and 30‑day volatility of 6.4 % reflect defensive price behavior, while the Fear/Greed Index at 92.34 (“Extreme Greed”) hints at market optimism despite balance‑sheet weakness.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term moving averages
  • Decreasing trading volume
  • High leverage and negative free cash flow

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Steady revenue growth and strong operating margins
  • Continued debt burden
  • Defensive utility sector with regulatory headwinds

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Elevated debt‑to‑equity ratio
  • Lack of dividend and earnings visibility
  • Potential regulatory pressure on fossil‑fuel assets

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.40%
Profit Margin10.88%
ROE8.32%
ROA2.78%
Debt/Equity131.71
Op. Cash Flow$3.2B
Free Cash Flow$-1405874944

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI45.7
Support$23.83
Resistance$24.35
MA 20$24.12
MA 50$24.25
MA 200$24.16
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.34

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.14
Volatility6.40%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.