TVC:NYSETennessee Valley Authority Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-27 - not real-time
$24.08
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
TVC is trading at $24.08, just below its 20‑day (24.12), 50‑day (24.25) and 200‑day (24.16) moving averages, indicating modest bearish pressure. The RSI sits at 45.7 and the MACD histogram is slightly negative, suggesting neutral‑to‑negative momentum, while daily volume has fallen to 4,792 against a 10‑day average of 8,310, raising liquidity concerns. The price is sandwiched between a support level of $23.83 and resistance at $24.35, limiting immediate upside.
Fundamentally, the firm posts $13.8 B in revenue with 4.4 % growth and solid margins (gross 40.9 %, operating 17.4 %, profit 10.9 %), yet it carries $24.7 B of debt versus $0.5 B cash, yielding a debt‑to‑equity of 132 and negative free cash flow of $‑1.4 B, which strains financial flexibility. No dividend is paid and EPS is not reported, limiting traditional valuation anchors. A low beta of 0.14 and 30‑day volatility of 6.4 % reflect defensive price behavior, while the Fear/Greed Index at 92.34 (“Extreme Greed”) hints at market optimism despite balance‑sheet weakness.
Fundamentally, the firm posts $13.8 B in revenue with 4.4 % growth and solid margins (gross 40.9 %, operating 17.4 %, profit 10.9 %), yet it carries $24.7 B of debt versus $0.5 B cash, yielding a debt‑to‑equity of 132 and negative free cash flow of $‑1.4 B, which strains financial flexibility. No dividend is paid and EPS is not reported, limiting traditional valuation anchors. A low beta of 0.14 and 30‑day volatility of 6.4 % reflect defensive price behavior, while the Fear/Greed Index at 92.34 (“Extreme Greed”) hints at market optimism despite balance‑sheet weakness.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price below short‑term moving averages
- Decreasing trading volume
- High leverage and negative free cash flow
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Steady revenue growth and strong operating margins
- Continued debt burden
- Defensive utility sector with regulatory headwinds
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Elevated debt‑to‑equity ratio
- Lack of dividend and earnings visibility
- Potential regulatory pressure on fossil‑fuel assets
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth4.40%
Profit Margin10.88%
ROE8.32%
ROA2.78%
Debt/Equity131.71
Op. Cash Flow$3.2B
Free Cash Flow$-1405874944
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI45.7
Support$23.83
Resistance$24.35
MA 20$24.12
MA 50$24.25
MA 200$24.16
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.34
Valuation
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.14
Volatility6.40%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.