TVC:NYSETennessee Valley Authority Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-22 - not real-time
$23.94
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock is trading at $23.94, just below the 20‑day SMA of 23.96 and the 50‑day SMA of 24.13, indicating a bearish technical bias. RSI sits at 44.9, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram turned positive (0.015) but the MACD line remains negative, hinting at a tentative short‑term bounce. Volume is trending upward, providing some support for the price, and the Fear & Greed Index reads Extreme Greed at 91.46, which may attract speculative buying despite the downtrend.
Fundamentally, TVC shows modest revenue growth of 4.4% and respectable operating margins (17.4%), yet the balance sheet is strained with a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 130 and negative free cash flow of roughly $1.4 B. The company pays no dividend, has zero earnings per share, and lacks a meaningful market‑cap valuation, making it appear overvalued relative to its cash‑generating capacity and risk profile.
Fundamentally, TVC shows modest revenue growth of 4.4% and respectable operating margins (17.4%), yet the balance sheet is strained with a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 130 and negative free cash flow of roughly $1.4 B. The company pays no dividend, has zero earnings per share, and lacks a meaningful market‑cap valuation, making it appear overvalued relative to its cash‑generating capacity and risk profile.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering near technical support
- Increasing volume despite bearish trend
- Neutral momentum indicated by RSI
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- High debt load (debt‑to‑equity >130)
- Negative free cash flow
- Absence of earnings and dividend
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Unsustainable capital structure
- Regulatory exposure in the utility sector
- Lack of growth catalysts and dividend
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth4.40%
Profit Margin10.88%
ROE8.32%
ROA2.78%
Debt/Equity131.71
Op. Cash Flow$3.2B
Free Cash Flow$-1405874944
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI44.9
Support$23.83
Resistance$24.10
MA 20$23.96
MA 50$24.13
MA 200$24.17
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46
Valuation
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.13
Volatility5.42%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.