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TVAI:NASDAQThayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation II Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-16 - not real-time

$10.38

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Thayer Ventures Acquisition Corporation II trades at $10.38, with its short-term moving averages stacked above the longer-term ones — a bullish trend structure. Relative strength is 50.5 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bearish. The recent range runs from support at $10.36 up to resistance at $10.40.
The shares look overvalued, trading on 39.9 times earnings above a sector average of 15.9.
The composite risk read is 4/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 1.3% and a beta of -0.00, position sizing matters here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 90 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on hold, with conviction of 3/10.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 10.25
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • P/E of 39.9 versus sector average of 15.9
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 10.25

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 39.9 versus sector average of 15.9
  • Thin trading liquidity raises execution risk
  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio39.9
P/B Ratio-33.2
Op. Cash Flow$-877868
Industry P/E15.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI50.5
Support$10.36
Resistance$10.40
MA 20$10.38
MA 50$10.37
MA 200$10.25
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.8

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.00
Volatility1.29%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.