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TV:NYSEGrupo Televisa S.A.B. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-06 - not real-time

$2.88

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Grupo Televisa (TV) is trading at $2.88, which sits below its 20‑day ($2.998) and 50‑day ($2.944) simple moving averages but remains just above the 200‑day SMA ($2.837), indicating short‑term weakness in a longer‑term bullish backdrop. The RSI at 44.9 suggests neutral momentum, while a bearish MACD histogram reinforces a near‑term downside bias. Volume is increasing, support is identified near $2.75 and resistance near $3.37, and the 30‑day volatility of roughly 40% points to sizable price swings. Despite these technical pressures, the Fear & Greed Index shows “Extreme Greed,” and the upside/downside potential is estimated at +37%/‑15%, highlighting a sizable upside if the stock can break above resistance.
Fundamentally, TV reports a revenue base of $58.4 B but a modest 3.1% decline YoY, negative profit margins (‑14.5%) and a trailing EPS of –$0.93, offset by a forward EPS of $0.23 and a forward P/E of 12.7, well below the industry average of 17.3. The balance sheet is leveraged, with $88.6 B of debt versus $34.7 B of cash, yet the price‑to‑book (0.28) and price‑to‑sales (0.026) ratios are exceptionally low, implying deep value. A 3.16% dividend yield is supported by a minuscule payout ratio (0.23%), suggesting short‑term sustainability, while bullish commentary from notable investors adds a sentiment boost, though it remains unverified.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term moving averages
  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Elevated 30‑day volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Forward earnings improvement and attractive forward P/E
  • Deep discount to book and sales multiples
  • Strong dividend yield with low payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained undervaluation relative to peers
  • Potential for debt reduction using sizable cash reserves
  • Strategic position in Mexico's telecom and media market

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-3.10%
Profit Margin-14.48%
P/E Ratio12.7
ROE-7.60%
ROA1.59%
Debt/Equity84.88
P/B Ratio0.3
Industry P/E17.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI44.9
Support$2.75
Resistance$3.37
MA 20$3.00
MA 50$2.94
MA 200$2.84
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.38

Valuation

Target Price$3.95
Upside/Downside37.26%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.16%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.65
Volatility39.64%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.