TURF:NASDAQT. Rowe Price Natural Resources ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-06 - not real-time
$35.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The ETF is trading at $35.00, comfortably above its 20‑day ($34.84) and 50‑day ($34.67) moving averages and well above the 200‑day average ($30.04), indicating a strong bullish trend. RSI sits at 54.3, suggesting the fund is not overbought, while an increasing volume trend supports the price advance. Year‑to‑date performance is impressive at +20.68% and the market sentiment is at an extreme greed level of 90.38 on the Fear & Greed Index, reinforcing bullish momentum.
On the downside, the MACD histogram is slightly negative and the signal line flags a bearish crossover, hinting at short‑term caution as price hovers near the resistance level of $35.46. The fund’s beta of 0.53 points to lower market volatility, yet 30‑day volatility of 13.25% and a max drawdown of –6.84% signal moderate risk. With a modest expense ratio of 0.44% and zero tracking error, the ETF offers efficient exposure, though its concentration in the natural resources sector and relatively thin daily volume (≈3.5k shares) raise medium‑term liquidity and sector concentration concerns.
On the downside, the MACD histogram is slightly negative and the signal line flags a bearish crossover, hinting at short‑term caution as price hovers near the resistance level of $35.46. The fund’s beta of 0.53 points to lower market volatility, yet 30‑day volatility of 13.25% and a max drawdown of –6.84% signal moderate risk. With a modest expense ratio of 0.44% and zero tracking error, the ETF offers efficient exposure, though its concentration in the natural resources sector and relatively thin daily volume (≈3.5k shares) raise medium‑term liquidity and sector concentration concerns.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near resistance with bearish MACD crossover
- Increasing volume supports current level
- Moderate volatility and low beta limit downside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong YTD return and bullish trend above key SMAs
- Low tracking error and reasonable expense ratio
- Extreme greed sentiment indicating market favorability
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sector exposure to natural resources may be cyclical
- Low beta and modest max drawdown suggest resilience
- Fund’s recent inception limits long‑term performance history
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.44%
AUM$117.1M
Inception Date2025-06-11
Avg Daily Volume10,790
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI54.3
Support$34.28
Resistance$35.46
MA 20$34.84
MA 50$34.67
MA 200$30.04
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.38
Risk Assessment
Beta0.53
Volatility13.25%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.