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TURF:NASDAQT. Rowe Price Natural Resources ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-06 - not real-time

$35.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The ETF is trading at $35.00, comfortably above its 20‑day ($34.84) and 50‑day ($34.67) moving averages and well above the 200‑day average ($30.04), indicating a strong bullish trend. RSI sits at 54.3, suggesting the fund is not overbought, while an increasing volume trend supports the price advance. Year‑to‑date performance is impressive at +20.68% and the market sentiment is at an extreme greed level of 90.38 on the Fear & Greed Index, reinforcing bullish momentum.
On the downside, the MACD histogram is slightly negative and the signal line flags a bearish crossover, hinting at short‑term caution as price hovers near the resistance level of $35.46. The fund’s beta of 0.53 points to lower market volatility, yet 30‑day volatility of 13.25% and a max drawdown of –6.84% signal moderate risk. With a modest expense ratio of 0.44% and zero tracking error, the ETF offers efficient exposure, though its concentration in the natural resources sector and relatively thin daily volume (≈3.5k shares) raise medium‑term liquidity and sector concentration concerns.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance with bearish MACD crossover
  • Increasing volume supports current level
  • Moderate volatility and low beta limit downside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong YTD return and bullish trend above key SMAs
  • Low tracking error and reasonable expense ratio
  • Extreme greed sentiment indicating market favorability

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sector exposure to natural resources may be cyclical
  • Low beta and modest max drawdown suggest resilience
  • Fund’s recent inception limits long‑term performance history

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.44%
AUM$117.1M
Inception Date2025-06-11
Avg Daily Volume10,790
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI54.3
Support$34.28
Resistance$35.46
MA 20$34.84
MA 50$34.67
MA 200$30.04
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.38

Risk Assessment

Beta0.53
Volatility13.25%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.