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TUI1:XETRTUI AG Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-01 - not real-time

€6.88

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

TUI AG is priced at €6.88, and its moving averages give no clean directional read — the structure is neutral. It has gained 1.1% over the past 30 days. RSI sits at 38.6, which reads as approaching oversold, and MACD momentum is bearish. The recent range runs from support at €6.86 up to resistance at €7.83.
On valuation the read is undervalued — an earnings multiple of 6.3, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Consensus targets land 44.8% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is contracting at 6.1% on a 2.5% profit margin. The 1.39% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 6 of a possible 10, a elevated reading. With 30-day volatility of 29.0%, a beta of 0.28 and a maximum drawdown of 34.8%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 1 out of 10.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Trading below the 200-day average of 7.56
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • Maximum drawdown of 34.8%

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Trading below the 200-day average of 7.56
  • Analyst targets imply +44.8% versus the current price
  • MACD momentum is negative

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst targets imply +44.8% versus the current price
  • Revenue contracting at -6.1%
  • Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-6.10%
Profit Margin2.53%
P/E Ratio6.3
ROE35.74%
ROA2.57%
Debt/Equity160.57
P/B Ratio1.9
Op. Cash Flow€1.5B
Free Cash Flow€-596587520

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI38.6
Support€6.86
Resistance€7.83
MA 20€7.23
MA 50€7.21
MA 200€7.56
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index94

Valuation

Fair Value€22.41
Target Price€9.96
Upside/Downside44.75%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.39%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.28
Volatility28.95%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.