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TUG:NASDAQSTF Tactical Growth ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-05 - not real-time

$46.59

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

At $46.59, STF Tactical Growth ETF shows a bullish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages sitting above longer ones. The last 30 days have gained 4.6%. Relative strength is 52.9 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bearish. Watch $45.86 as support and $47.52 as the nearer resistance level.
The 0.65% expense ratio is middling for its category, and the fund manages $33.8M in assets.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 6 — elevated. With 30-day volatility of 17.6%, a beta of 1.37 and a maximum drawdown of 13.4%, position sizing matters here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — buy in the near term, hold further out, at 3/10 long-term conviction.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 42.47
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 42.47
  • MACD momentum is negative

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Thin trading liquidity raises execution risk
  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • 30-day volatility of 17.6%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.65%
AUM$33.8M
Inception Date2022-05-18
Avg Daily Volume710
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.50%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI52.9
Support$45.86
Resistance$47.52
MA 20$46.59
MA 50$46.15
MA 200$42.47
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.48

Risk Assessment

Beta1.37
Volatility17.61%
Sector RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.