TTMI:NASDAQTTM Technologies, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-02 - not real-time
$115.44
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
TTM Technologies is trading at $115.44, well below its 20‑day SMA of 134.27 and 50‑day SMA of 166.99, but just above the 200‑day SMA of 112.42, indicating a short‑term downtrend within a longer‑term uptrend. The 14‑day RSI of 35.6 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, while the MACD histogram remains negative, reinforcing bearish momentum on the near‑term chart. Volatility is extreme, with a 30‑day price swing of roughly 97% and a beta exceeding 3, meaning the share moves sharply with market swings and has experienced a 54% maximum drawdown. Despite these technical headwinds, the fundamentals tell a different story: revenue surged 30% year‑over‑year to $3.1 bn, operating margins are expanding, and forward EPS is projected at $5.40, cutting the forward P/E to about 21. Analysts rate the stock as a strong‑buy and target a mean price near $212, reflecting confidence in growth drivers. Recent news of a European acquisition adds PCB and material capabilities for high‑margin aerospace, defense, and medical markets, while the Mini‑Xinger RF line earned AEC‑Q200 qualification, opening doors in automotive reliability. However, the discounted cash‑flow model places fair value near $70, implying the market is pricing the stock at a substantial premium. Thus, the stock is fundamentally growth‑oriented but appears significantly overvalued in the current market.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD and price below short‑term moving averages
- Elevated volatility and high beta increasing price swings
- RSI near oversold levels offering limited upside without catalyst
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- 30% YoY revenue growth driven by AI data‑center and defense segments
- Strategic European acquisition expanding high‑margin PCB capabilities
- Forward earnings outlook improving valuation to a more reasonable forward P/E
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Sustained demand in aerospace, defense, and automotive RF markets
- Diversified product portfolio and expanding global footprint
- Current market premium versus DCF fair value suggests price correction risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth30.40%
Profit Margin6.29%
P/E Ratio62.7
ROE11.40%
ROA4.86%
Debt/Equity57.10
P/B Ratio6.5
Op. Cash Flow$324.3M
Free Cash Flow$-55001000
Industry P/E32.8
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI35.6
Support$99.19
Resistance$161.01
MA 20$134.27
MA 50$166.99
MA 200$112.42
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88
Valuation
Fair Value$70.34
Target Price$212.00
Upside/Downside83.65%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta3.31
Volatility97.32%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.