TTMI:NASDAQTTM Technologies, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-18 - not real-time
$216.44
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
TTMI is trading near its fifty‑two‑week high, with price comfortably above its twenty‑day and fifty‑day moving averages, signaling strong bullish trend. The fourteen‑day RSI sits in the upper‑mid range, reinforcing momentum without being overbought. MACD shows a bullish crossover and a positive histogram, further confirming upward pressure. However, volatility over the past thirty days is exceptionally high and beta exceeds three, indicating the stock is far more volatile than the market. Valuation metrics are stretched: the trailing P/E is well above the industry average and a discounted cash‑flow model suggests a fair value far below current levels. The DCF downside is negative, implying limited upside from a valuation perspective.
Despite this, revenue growth of roughly thirty percent year‑over‑year and expanding margins point to robust top‑line momentum. Recent contract wins in defense and data‑center segments, plus a one‑billion‑dollar cash‑flow revolver, provide tangible growth catalysts. Insider activity shows notable share sales totaling over ten million dollars, which adds a layer of caution. The company carries moderate leverage with a debt‑to‑equity around fifty‑seven percent, and free cash flow is currently negative, raising concerns about cash generation. Analyst sentiment is bullish, with a strong‑buy recommendation and an “Extreme Greed” market mood. Overall, the stock blends strong technical momentum with high valuation and execution risks.
Despite this, revenue growth of roughly thirty percent year‑over‑year and expanding margins point to robust top‑line momentum. Recent contract wins in defense and data‑center segments, plus a one‑billion‑dollar cash‑flow revolver, provide tangible growth catalysts. Insider activity shows notable share sales totaling over ten million dollars, which adds a layer of caution. The company carries moderate leverage with a debt‑to‑equity around fifty‑seven percent, and free cash flow is currently negative, raising concerns about cash generation. Analyst sentiment is bullish, with a strong‑buy recommendation and an “Extreme Greed” market mood. Overall, the stock blends strong technical momentum with high valuation and execution risks.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical indicators (SMA, MACD, RSI)
- Recent contract wins and financing boost growth outlook
- Momentum driven by Extreme Greed sentiment
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Valuation remains far above fair value
- Insider selling raises caution
- Revenue growth but free cash flow negative
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term exposure to defense and data‑center markets
- High volatility and beta may impair stability
- Potential for valuation compression if earnings lag
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth30.40%
Profit Margin6.29%
P/E Ratio117.6
ROE11.40%
ROA4.86%
Debt/Equity57.10
P/B Ratio12.2
Op. Cash Flow$324.3M
Free Cash Flow$-55001000
Industry P/E38.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI67.8
Support$162.30
Resistance$217.75
MA 20$186.94
MA 50$161.70
MA 200$97.93
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.14
Valuation
Fair Value$72.60
Target Price$209.00
Upside/Downside-3.44%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta3.30
Volatility75.50%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.