TTE:NYSETotalEnergies SE Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-06 - not real-time
$89.95
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Price action: TTE trades at $89.95, just below its 20‑day SMA (≈$90.5) but comfortably above the 50‑day SMA, with a clear support around $85.30 and resistance near $93.67. The RSI sits at a neutral 50, while the MACD histogram is negative, signaling short‑term bearish momentum despite an overall bullish trend. Volume has been decreasing and 30‑day volatility is elevated at ~33%, suggesting caution on near‑term moves.
Fundamentals & outlook: The stock appears reasonably priced relative to peers (PE 13.3 vs industry 20.7) and offers a strong dividend yield of 4.5% with a sustainable payout ratio of ~59%. Forward PE drops to 8.7 and forward EPS is projected to rise to $10.38, reflecting robust earnings expectations highlighted in recent earnings guidance. Analyst consensus is a “Buy” with a median target of $102.5, implying roughly 8% upside, while news of a sharp Q1 earnings lift and the UK North Sea merger bolster the medium‑term narrative.
Fundamentals & outlook: The stock appears reasonably priced relative to peers (PE 13.3 vs industry 20.7) and offers a strong dividend yield of 4.5% with a sustainable payout ratio of ~59%. Forward PE drops to 8.7 and forward EPS is projected to rise to $10.38, reflecting robust earnings expectations highlighted in recent earnings guidance. Analyst consensus is a “Buy” with a median target of $102.5, implying roughly 8% upside, while news of a sharp Q1 earnings lift and the UK North Sea merger bolster the medium‑term narrative.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near short‑term support and below 20‑day SMA
- Bearish MACD histogram indicating near‑term downside pressure
- High dividend yield provides downside cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Forward PE of 8.7 and projected EPS growth
- Analyst target median price of $102.5 suggesting upside
- Positive earnings guidance and strategic upstream merger
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Diversified energy portfolio with growing low‑carbon assets
- Sustainable dividend yield and strong cash‑flow generation
- Low beta and solid balance sheet supporting resilience through cycles
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth3.40%
Profit Margin8.20%
P/E Ratio13.3
ROE12.51%
ROA4.89%
Debt/Equity51.30
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash Flow$28.1B
Free Cash Flow$10.1B
Industry P/E20.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI50.3
Support$85.30
Resistance$93.67
MA 20$90.53
MA 50$87.34
MA 200$70.24
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.46
Valuation
Fair Value$53.77
Target Price$97.07
Upside/Downside7.92%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.51%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.08
Volatility32.76%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.