TSLA:NASDAQTesla, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-30 - not real-time
$348.75
Latest Price
9/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind Tesla, Inc. is bearish at $348.75, with short-term averages lagging the long-term ones. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 8.4%. With RSI at 50.9 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bullish MACD signal. Recent trading has carved out support near $310.43 and resistance around $366.50.
Valuation screens as overvalued, on a P/E of 332.1 with no clean sector comparison available. Consensus targets land 11.9% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 25.5% on a 3.7% profit margin.
Risk comes out at 9 of a possible 10, a high reading. With 30-day volatility of 59.3%, a beta of 2.25 and a maximum drawdown of 39.1%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on hold, with conviction of 1/10.
Valuation screens as overvalued, on a P/E of 332.1 with no clean sector comparison available. Consensus targets land 11.9% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 25.5% on a 3.7% profit margin.
Risk comes out at 9 of a possible 10, a high reading. With 30-day volatility of 59.3%, a beta of 2.25 and a maximum drawdown of 39.1%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on hold, with conviction of 1/10.
Top Market Events
On August 18, 2026, Einride AB NASDAQ:ENRD said that it will add 500 Tesla, Inc.On August 17, 2026, Reuters reported, citing the Information, that Tesla Inc.Tesla is down 23% for the year yet Robotaxi is expanding, Cybercab production has started, and Optimus lines are being...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 400.93
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 400.93
- Analyst targets imply +11.9% versus the current price
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- Analyst targets imply +11.9% versus the current price
- Revenue growth of +25.5%
- P/E ratio of 332.1
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth25.50%
Profit Margin3.67%
P/E Ratio332.1
ROE4.67%
ROA1.93%
Debt/Equity18.37
P/B Ratio15.9
Op. Cash Flow$18.7B
Free Cash Flow$4.8B
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI50.9
Support$310.43
Resistance$366.50
MA 20$338.82
MA 50$360.47
MA 200$400.93
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index95.66
Valuation
Fair Value$49.84
Target Price$390.09
Upside/Downside11.85%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta2.25
Volatility59.35%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.