TSLA:NASDAQTesla, Inc. analysis
Data as of Oct 20, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $368.06
- Risk: high
- 8/10High risk
Summary
The moving-average structure behind Tesla, Inc. is neutral at $368.06, with no clear ordering between short and long averages. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 3.9%. With RSI at 50.6 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Recent trading has carved out support near $345.88 and resistance around $388.56.
Valuation screens as overvalued, on a P/E of 340.8 with no clean sector comparison available. Consensus targets land 8.1% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 25.5% on a 3.7% profit margin.
Risk comes out at 8 of a possible 10, a high reading. With 30-day volatility of 31.5%, a beta of 2.21 and a maximum drawdown of 39.1%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 88 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on hold, with conviction of 1/10.
Valuation screens as overvalued, on a P/E of 340.8 with no clean sector comparison available. Consensus targets land 8.1% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 25.5% on a 3.7% profit margin.
Risk comes out at 8 of a possible 10, a high reading. With 30-day volatility of 31.5%, a beta of 2.21 and a maximum drawdown of 39.1%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 88 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on hold, with conviction of 1/10.
Top market events
- Tesla Inc. stocks have been trading up by 3.22 percent after upbeat delivery forecasts boosted investor confidence in...
- A federal appeals court has dealt a significant blow to a class action lawsuit targeting Tesla's self-driving claims,...
- Tesla TSLA Reports Earnings Tomorrow: What To Expect
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 387.58
- MACD momentum is negative
- Beta of 2.21 versus the benchmark
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 387.58
- Analyst targets imply +8.1% versus the current price
- MACD momentum is negative
Long term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence1/101 out of 10
Key factors
- Analyst targets imply +8.1% versus the current price
- Revenue growth of +25.5%
- P/E ratio of 340.8
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth25.50%
Profit Margin3.67%
P/E Ratio340.8
ROE4.67%
ROA1.93%
Debt/Equity18.37
P/B Ratio16.7
Op. Cash Flow$18.7B
Free Cash Flow$4.8B
Technical analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI50.6
Support$345.88
Resistance$388.56
MA 20$369.97
MA 50$360.25
MA 200$387.58
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.5
Valuation
Fair Value$47.26
Target Price$397.83
Upside/Downside8.09%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk assessment
Beta2.21
Volatility31.47%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.