TSCO:LSETesco PLC Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-01 - not real-time
£471.50
Latest Price
3/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind Tesco PLC is neutral at £471.50, with no clear ordering between short and long averages. Over a rolling month the price has lost 1.5%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 55.2 (neutral) with MACD reading bullish. The recent range runs from support at an unavailable price up to resistance at £487.90.
On valuation the read is fair — an earnings multiple of 17.5, absent a reliable peer benchmark. The average analyst target implies 9.0% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 7.2% on a 2.4% profit margin. The 3.17% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 3 of a possible 10, a low reading. With 30-day volatility of 21.7%, a beta of -0.07 and a maximum drawdown of 14.2%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: buy, at a conviction of 5 out of 10.
On valuation the read is fair — an earnings multiple of 17.5, absent a reliable peer benchmark. The average analyst target implies 9.0% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 7.2% on a 2.4% profit margin. The 3.17% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 3 of a possible 10, a low reading. With 30-day volatility of 21.7%, a beta of -0.07 and a maximum drawdown of 14.2%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: buy, at a conviction of 5 out of 10.
Top Market Events
Marks and Spencer Group PLC LSE:MKS , Tesco PLC LSE:TSCO , and Associated British Foods PLC LSE:ABF faced divergent...Shares in Tesco PLC LSE:TSCO fell on Wednesday after Shore Capital downgraded Britain's largest supermarket group for...How have Tesco shares done over the past five years.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 460.71
- MACD momentum is positive
- RSI at 55.2 is in neutral territory
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 460.71
- Analyst targets imply +9.0% versus the current price
- MACD momentum is positive
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Analyst targets imply +9.0% versus the current price
- P/E ratio of 17.5
- Return on equity of 15.5%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth7.20%
Profit Margin2.42%
P/E Ratio17.5
ROE15.46%
ROA4.93%
Debt/Equity131.62
P/B Ratio2.6
Op. Cash Flow£3.9B
Free Cash Flow£2.2B
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI55.2
Support£0.00
Resistance£487.90
MA 20£461.68
MA 50£468.45
MA 200£460.71
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.25
Valuation
Fair Value£446.39
Target Price£514.00
Upside/Downside9.01%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.17%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.07
Volatility21.74%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.