TRV:NYSEThe Travelers Companies, Inc. analysis
Data as of Oct 15, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $377.82
- Risk: low
- 3/10Low risk
Summary
At $377.82, The Travelers Companies, Inc. shows no decisive moving-average alignment, leaving the trend neutral. The last 30 days have gained 3.8%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 63.8 (approaching overbought) with MACD reading bullish. Price has been bracketed by support at $353.79 and resistance at $382.97.
Valuation screens as undervalued: a P/E of 10.0 sits below the sector average of 15.5. The average analyst target implies 4.5% below today's level. The 1.34% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 3 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 17.9%, a beta of -0.14 and a maximum drawdown of 10.2%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 90 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to buy, carrying 7/10 conviction.
Valuation screens as undervalued: a P/E of 10.0 sits below the sector average of 15.5. The average analyst target implies 4.5% below today's level. The 1.34% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 3 out of 10, which is low for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 17.9%, a beta of -0.14 and a maximum drawdown of 10.2%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 90 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to buy, carrying 7/10 conviction.
Top market events
- Revenue hit USD 12.15 billion in the second quarter of 2026. Travelers Companies stock costs EUR 323
- Travelers Companies stock is at EUR 329.35 pre-market at Lang & Schwarz on October 12, 2026. The quo
- At the close on September 4, 2026, Travelers Companies stock finished higher on the NYSE, with the m
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence6/106 out of 10
Key factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 323.17
- MACD momentum is positive
- RSI at 63.8 is in neutral territory
Medium term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence6/106 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 10.0 versus sector average of 15.5
- Trading above the 200-day average of 323.17
- MACD momentum is positive
Long term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence7/107 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 10.0 versus sector average of 15.5
- Profit margin of 17.0% is healthy
- Return on equity of 26.5%
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth0.30%
Profit Margin16.95%
P/E Ratio10.0
ROE26.51%
ROA4.78%
Debt/Equity27.38
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow$11.0B
Free Cash Flow$14.8B
Industry P/E15.5
Technical analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI63.8
Support$353.79
Resistance$382.97
MA 20$366.09
MA 50$369.19
MA 200$323.17
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.36
Valuation
Fair Value$838.09
Target Price$360.67
Upside/Downside-4.54%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.34%
Risk assessment
Beta-0.14
Volatility17.92%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.