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TRP:TSXTC Energy Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-13 - not real-time

CA$88.72

Latest Price

3/10Risk

Risk Level: Low

Executive Summary

TC Energy Corporation is priced at CAD 88.72, and its moving averages give no clean directional read — the structure is neutral. The last 30 days have lost 8.8%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 31.0 (approaching oversold) with MACD reading bearish. The recent range runs from support at CAD 86.97 up to resistance at CAD 99.76.
Multiples put this in fair territory: 25.3 times earnings against the sector's 20.6. The average analyst target implies 12.1% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 5.7% on a 22.9% profit margin. The 3.96% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk comes out at 3 of a possible 10, a low reading. With 30-day volatility of 22.8%, a beta of -0.13 and a maximum drawdown of 11.5%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 2 out of 10.

Top Market Events

In July 2026, a formal comment to the U.S. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission highlighted that TC Energy’s...Yahoo Finance17dCould Northwoods’ Quiet Footprint Expansion Reframe TC Energy’s Regulatory Risk Profile TSX:TRP ?TC Energy TSX:TRP is in focus after a formal comment to the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission questioned an apparent...

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Trading above the 200-day average of 85.38
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • 30-day price change of -8.8%

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 25.3 versus sector average of 20.6
  • Dividend yield of 3.96% looks stretched against payout coverage
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 85.38

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 25.3 versus sector average of 20.6
  • Dividend yield of 3.96% looks stretched against payout coverage
  • Analyst targets imply +12.1% versus the current price

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.70%
Profit Margin22.91%
P/E Ratio25.3
ROE11.83%
ROA3.67%
Debt/Equity170.37
P/B Ratio3.7
Op. Cash FlowCA$8.6B
Free Cash FlowCA$1.3B
Industry P/E20.6

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI31.0
SupportCA$86.97
ResistanceCA$99.76
MA 20CA$94.19
MA 50CA$95.46
MA 200CA$85.38
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index95.45

Valuation

Target PriceCA$99.43
Upside/Downside12.08%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.96%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.13
Volatility22.81%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.