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TRP:TSXTC Energy Corporation analysis

Data as of Sep 27, 2026 - not real-time

Latest price
CA$83.17
Risk: low
3/10Low risk

Summary

TC Energy Corporation is priced at CAD 83.17, and its moving averages give no clean directional read — the structure is neutral. The last 30 days have lost 5.4%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 34.6 (approaching oversold) with MACD reading bearish. The recent range runs from support at CAD 82.53 up to resistance at CAD 88.58.
Multiples put this in fair territory: 23.7 times earnings against the sector's 17.2. The average analyst target implies 19.7% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 5.7% on a 22.9% profit margin. The 4.22% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk comes out at 3 of a possible 10, a low reading. With 30-day volatility of 19.4%, a beta of -0.15 and a maximum drawdown of 16.5%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: sell near-term but hold on a long view, at 1/10 conviction over the longer horizon.

Top market events

  • Fintel reports that on September 21, 2026, TD COWEN upgraded their outlook for TC Energy Corporation - Preferred Stock...
  • Fintel reports that on September 21, 2026, TD COWEN upgraded their outlook for TC Energy TSX:TRP from Hold to Buy.
  • Solid execution and asset performance support higher end of 2026 financial outlook$0.

Market outlook

Short term

< 1 year

Cautious

Model confidence4/104 out of 10

Key factors

  • Trading below the 200-day average of 87.22
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • 30-day price change of -5.4%

Medium term

1–3 years

Neutral

Model confidence3/103 out of 10

Key factors

  • P/E of 23.7 versus sector average of 17.2
  • Dividend yield of 4.22% looks stretched against payout coverage
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 87.22

Long term

> 3 years

Neutral

Model confidence1/101 out of 10

Key factors

  • P/E of 23.7 versus sector average of 17.2
  • Dividend yield of 4.22% looks stretched against payout coverage
  • Analyst targets imply +19.7% versus the current price

Key metrics

Financial health

Revenue Growth5.70%
Profit Margin22.91%
P/E Ratio23.7
ROE11.83%
ROA3.67%
Debt/Equity170.37
P/B Ratio3.4
Op. Cash FlowCA$8.6B
Free Cash FlowCA$1.3B
Industry P/E17.2

Technical analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI34.6
SupportCA$82.53
ResistanceCA$88.58
MA 20CA$85.72
MA 50CA$89.16
MA 200CA$87.22
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.88

Valuation

Target PriceCA$99.57
Upside/Downside19.71%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.22%

Risk assessment

Beta-0.15
Volatility19.40%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.