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TR:NYSETootsie Roll Industries, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-27 - not real-time

$37.79

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Tootsie Roll Industries is trading below its 20‑day and 200‑day moving averages, indicating a lack of upward momentum, while the RSI sits in oversold territory, suggesting a potential short‑term bounce. Technical indicators such as a bearish MACD histogram and a price near the identified support level reinforce a cautious outlook, even as volume trends upward. Fundamentally, the company appears overvalued: the discounted cash‑flow model implies a fair value roughly one‑third of the current market price, and forward earnings are projected to be negative, driving an anomalous forward P/E. The dividend yield is modest but the payout ratio remains well within sustainable limits given strong operating cash flow and a net cash position. Overall, the stock faces high short‑term volatility, limited growth prospects, and a valuation gap that makes it less attractive for long‑term investors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • RSI in oversold range suggests limited upside
  • Price hovering just above key support
  • Increasing volume may cushion downside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • DCF valuation far below market price
  • Bearish MACD and negative forward EPS
  • Modest dividend provides some floor

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant overvaluation relative to intrinsic value
  • Expected earnings decline and negative forward P/E
  • High volatility and limited growth prospects

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.10%
Profit Margin13.55%
P/E Ratio28.4
ROE10.90%
ROA6.06%
Debt/Equity1.43
P/B Ratio3.0
Op. Cash Flow$138.5M
Free Cash Flow$63.7M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI31.5
Support$37.04
Resistance$43.43
MA 20$40.98
MA 50$41.92
MA 200$39.29
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.34

Valuation

Fair Value$14.27
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.96%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.07
Volatility31.98%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.