TQQY:NASDAQGraniteShares YieldBOOST QQQ ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time
$13.09
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The ETF is trading at $13.09, which sits below its 20‑day (13.44) and 50‑day (13.46) simple moving averages and well under the 200‑day SMA of 15.62, confirming a bearish technical posture. Momentum indicators reinforce this view: the RSI is at 35.7, edging into oversold territory, while the MACD histogram remains negative and the signal line is flagged as bearish. Volatility is elevated at roughly 16.5% over the past 30 days and the fund’s beta of 1.40 indicates it moves more aggressively than the broader market. A historical max drawdown of -36% and a relatively high expense ratio of 1.15% add to the downside risk profile.
On the income side, the fund announced a weekly distribution of $0.1025, a modest 4% decline from the prior week, translating to an annualized distribution rate of 38.67% with an SEC yield of 0.47%. While the yield is attractive, the decreasing distribution and the fund’s derivative‑income focus suggest that the income stream may be volatile. Investors should weigh the high yield against the technical weakness, elevated volatility, and expense drag when forming a view on TQQY.
On the income side, the fund announced a weekly distribution of $0.1025, a modest 4% decline from the prior week, translating to an annualized distribution rate of 38.67% with an SEC yield of 0.47%. While the yield is attractive, the decreasing distribution and the fund’s derivative‑income focus suggest that the income stream may be volatile. Investors should weigh the high yield against the technical weakness, elevated volatility, and expense drag when forming a view on TQQY.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- price below short‑term SMAs and bearish MACD
- support level at $12.92 offering limited downside
- decreasing daily volume indicating weaker liquidity
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- high dividend yield and annual distribution rate
- beta of 1.40 providing upside potential if QQQ rebounds
- persistent volatility and expense ratio pressure
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- attractive income generation relative to peers
- potential for QQQ‑linked upside over a multi‑year horizon
- current price discount to long‑term SMA offering upside if trend reverses
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio1.15%
AUM$8.8M
Inception Date2025-02-25
Avg Daily Volume18,610
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield59.73%
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI35.7
Support$12.92
Resistance$13.85
MA 20$13.44
MA 50$13.46
MA 200$15.62
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46
Risk Assessment
Beta1.40
Volatility16.48%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.