TPZ:NYSETortoise Electrification Infrastructure ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-05 - not real-time
$22.88
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
TPZ is trading at $22.88, comfortably above its 20‑day ($22.24) and 50‑day ($22.29) simple moving averages and also above the 200‑day SMA ($21.24), indicating short‑term bullish momentum. The RSI of 63.6 reinforces this upward bias while staying clear of overbought territory. MACD shows a bullish histogram (+0.098) with the line above the signal, further supporting momentum. Volume is on an increasing trend, suggesting growing investor interest. The ETF holds a solid support level at $21.54 and faces resistance near $22.97, giving it a clear price corridor. A low beta of 0.34 and a 30‑day volatility of 15% point to modest market sensitivity and manageable price swings.
Fundamentally, TPZ delivers a 3.7% dividend yield and posted an 8.5% YTD return, appealing to income‑focused investors. The expense ratio of 0.85% is relatively high for an ETF, which tempers net returns. Max drawdown of roughly 6.9% over the recent period indicates limited downside risk. The fund’s tracking error is essentially zero, eliminating tracking risk. However, recent news notes that the ETF’s pivot to electrification infrastructure and covered‑call strategies has struggled to provide results, injecting short‑term uncertainty. Combined with an “Extreme Greed” market sentiment (FGI 90.5), the technical upside is tempered by the strategic transition risk.
Fundamentally, TPZ delivers a 3.7% dividend yield and posted an 8.5% YTD return, appealing to income‑focused investors. The expense ratio of 0.85% is relatively high for an ETF, which tempers net returns. Max drawdown of roughly 6.9% over the recent period indicates limited downside risk. The fund’s tracking error is essentially zero, eliminating tracking risk. However, recent news notes that the ETF’s pivot to electrification infrastructure and covered‑call strategies has struggled to provide results, injecting short‑term uncertainty. Combined with an “Extreme Greed” market sentiment (FGI 90.5), the technical upside is tempered by the strategic transition risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical indicators (price above SMAs, bullish MACD)
- Increasing volume supporting short‑term interest
- Uncertainty from recent strategic pivot and news sentiment
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Attractive dividend yield and low beta reducing market risk
- Strong YTD performance and sector tailwinds in electrification
- Zero tracking error ensuring benchmark alignment
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Structural demand for electrification infrastructure driving long‑term growth
- Low correlation to broader market (beta 0.34) offering portfolio diversification
- Consistent income generation through dividend yield
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.85%
AUM$132.3M
Inception Date2009-07-29
Avg Daily Volume11,950
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield3.70%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI63.6
Support$21.54
Resistance$22.97
MA 20$22.24
MA 50$22.29
MA 200$21.24
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.55
Risk Assessment
Beta0.34
Volatility15.01%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.