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TPST:NASDAQTempest Therapeutics, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-02 - not real-time

$0.86

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: TPST trades at $0.86, just above the computed support of $0.84 and far below its 52‑week high of $12.23, indicating a deep discount. All three moving averages (20‑day SMA ≈ 0.96, 50‑day SMA ≈ 1.19, 200‑day SMA ≈ 3.14) sit well above the current price, confirming a bearish trend, yet the RSI of 28.8 places the stock in oversold territory and the MACD histogram has turned slightly positive, hinting at a potential short‑term bounce.
Fundamental & catalyst outlook: The company remains pre‑revenue with zero sales, negative EBITDA of $‑20.9 M, and a debt‑to‑equity ratio over 950, making the current price‑to‑book of 15 appear high for a cash‑burning biotech. Liquidity is tight ($1.8 M cash vs $7.85 M debt). However, recent material news – a next‑generation in‑vivo CAR‑T pipeline slated for a Q4 2026 clinical start and the addition of two independent directors – provides a meaningful near‑term catalyst, while the Roche collaboration adds credibility to the long‑term value proposition.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price sitting just above a thin support level
  • Bearish alignment of SMA 20/50/200
  • High short‑term volatility (≈ 64% 30‑day)

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Upcoming Q4 2026 CAR‑T clinical trial
  • MACD turning bullish while RSI remains oversold
  • Continued cash burn and high debt load

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Potential blockbuster oncology assets (Amezalpat, CAR‑T pipeline)
  • Strategic partnership with Roche
  • Long‑term upside from successful commercialization despite current financial weakness

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio-0.7
ROE-721.00%
ROA-61.69%
Debt/Equity955.47
P/B Ratio15.0
Op. Cash Flow$-26382000
Free Cash Flow$-16625000
Industry P/E29.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI28.8
Support$0.84
Resistance$1.10
MA 20$0.96
MA 50$1.19
MA 200$3.14
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.88

Valuation

Target Price$11.00
Upside/Downside1184.60%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.29
Volatility63.62%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.