TPST:NASDAQTempest Therapeutics, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-02 - not real-time
$0.86
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: TPST trades at $0.86, just above the computed support of $0.84 and far below its 52‑week high of $12.23, indicating a deep discount. All three moving averages (20‑day SMA ≈ 0.96, 50‑day SMA ≈ 1.19, 200‑day SMA ≈ 3.14) sit well above the current price, confirming a bearish trend, yet the RSI of 28.8 places the stock in oversold territory and the MACD histogram has turned slightly positive, hinting at a potential short‑term bounce.
Fundamental & catalyst outlook: The company remains pre‑revenue with zero sales, negative EBITDA of $‑20.9 M, and a debt‑to‑equity ratio over 950, making the current price‑to‑book of 15 appear high for a cash‑burning biotech. Liquidity is tight ($1.8 M cash vs $7.85 M debt). However, recent material news – a next‑generation in‑vivo CAR‑T pipeline slated for a Q4 2026 clinical start and the addition of two independent directors – provides a meaningful near‑term catalyst, while the Roche collaboration adds credibility to the long‑term value proposition.
Fundamental & catalyst outlook: The company remains pre‑revenue with zero sales, negative EBITDA of $‑20.9 M, and a debt‑to‑equity ratio over 950, making the current price‑to‑book of 15 appear high for a cash‑burning biotech. Liquidity is tight ($1.8 M cash vs $7.85 M debt). However, recent material news – a next‑generation in‑vivo CAR‑T pipeline slated for a Q4 2026 clinical start and the addition of two independent directors – provides a meaningful near‑term catalyst, while the Roche collaboration adds credibility to the long‑term value proposition.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price sitting just above a thin support level
- Bearish alignment of SMA 20/50/200
- High short‑term volatility (≈ 64% 30‑day)
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Upcoming Q4 2026 CAR‑T clinical trial
- MACD turning bullish while RSI remains oversold
- Continued cash burn and high debt load
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Potential blockbuster oncology assets (Amezalpat, CAR‑T pipeline)
- Strategic partnership with Roche
- Long‑term upside from successful commercialization despite current financial weakness
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
P/E Ratio-0.7
ROE-721.00%
ROA-61.69%
Debt/Equity955.47
P/B Ratio15.0
Op. Cash Flow$-26382000
Free Cash Flow$-16625000
Industry P/E29.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI28.8
Support$0.84
Resistance$1.10
MA 20$0.96
MA 50$1.19
MA 200$3.14
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.88
Valuation
Target Price$11.00
Upside/Downside1184.60%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.29
Volatility63.62%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.