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TPG:ASXTPG Telecom Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-22 - not real-time

A$3.70

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

TPG Telecom is trading below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day simple moving averages, signaling a bearish technical backdrop, while the RSI sits near the mid‑range and the MACD histogram has turned slightly positive, hinting at a modest near‑term upside.
Fundamentally, the company carries a very high trailing P/E relative to the industry average, but its price‑to‑book is below one, dividend yield is attractive and the payout ratio is exceptionally low, suggesting the dividend is well‑covered by cash flow. Recent news highlights a commitment to grow the dividend in line with earnings and free cash flow, reinforcing the income narrative. The DCF‑derived fair value sits well above the current market price, indicating potential undervaluation despite the short‑term price weakness.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • price below key moving averages
  • bearish trend direction
  • increasing volume suggests potential bounce

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • fairly priced relative to book value
  • strong free cash flow supporting dividend growth
  • DCF upside potential

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
  • transition to mobile‑first business driving future earnings
  • undervalued valuation metrics compared with peers

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.80%
Profit Margin9.13%
P/E Ratio123.2
ROE0.52%
ROA1.52%
Debt/Equity47.91
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash FlowA$2.4B
Free Cash FlowA$960.2M
Industry P/E16.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI41.0
SupportA$3.57
ResistanceA$4.16
MA 20A$3.77
MA 50A$4.04
MA 200A$4.26
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Valuation

Fair ValueA$5.50
Target PriceA$4.12
Upside/Downside11.37%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.74%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.73
Volatility32.08%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.