TPG:ASXTPG Telecom Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-22 - not real-time
A$3.70
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
TPG Telecom is trading below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day simple moving averages, signaling a bearish technical backdrop, while the RSI sits near the mid‑range and the MACD histogram has turned slightly positive, hinting at a modest near‑term upside.
Fundamentally, the company carries a very high trailing P/E relative to the industry average, but its price‑to‑book is below one, dividend yield is attractive and the payout ratio is exceptionally low, suggesting the dividend is well‑covered by cash flow. Recent news highlights a commitment to grow the dividend in line with earnings and free cash flow, reinforcing the income narrative. The DCF‑derived fair value sits well above the current market price, indicating potential undervaluation despite the short‑term price weakness.
Fundamentally, the company carries a very high trailing P/E relative to the industry average, but its price‑to‑book is below one, dividend yield is attractive and the payout ratio is exceptionally low, suggesting the dividend is well‑covered by cash flow. Recent news highlights a commitment to grow the dividend in line with earnings and free cash flow, reinforcing the income narrative. The DCF‑derived fair value sits well above the current market price, indicating potential undervaluation despite the short‑term price weakness.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- price below key moving averages
- bearish trend direction
- increasing volume suggests potential bounce
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- fairly priced relative to book value
- strong free cash flow supporting dividend growth
- DCF upside potential
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
- transition to mobile‑first business driving future earnings
- undervalued valuation metrics compared with peers
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth3.80%
Profit Margin9.13%
P/E Ratio123.2
ROE0.52%
ROA1.52%
Debt/Equity47.91
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash FlowA$2.4B
Free Cash FlowA$960.2M
Industry P/E16.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI41.0
SupportA$3.57
ResistanceA$4.16
MA 20A$3.77
MA 50A$4.04
MA 200A$4.26
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46
Valuation
Fair ValueA$5.50
Target PriceA$4.12
Upside/Downside11.37%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.74%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.73
Volatility32.08%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.