TPCS:NASDAQTechPrecision Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-27 - not real-time
$3.99
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
TechPrecision Corp. (TPCS) is trading at $3.99, just above its identified support of $3.75 and well below its 200‑day SMA of $4.51, indicating long‑term weakness despite a short‑term price above the 50‑day SMA ($3.72). The RSI sits at 52, suggesting a neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is negative and the MACD line remains below its signal line, flagging bearish technical pressure. Volatility is elevated at roughly 51% over the past 30 days, and the market sentiment is in an "Extreme Greed" phase, which may be inflating the price temporarily. Fundamentally, the company reports a 6.9% revenue decline, negative operating (-19%) and profit margins (-3.4%), and a trailing EPS of –$0.12, yet it projects a forward EPS of $1.58, implying an expected earnings turnaround. The balance sheet is strained with $10.5 M of debt versus a mere $70 k in cash, yielding a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 132 and negative free cash flow of –$1.83 M. Valuation metrics such as a forward P/E of 2.5 versus an industry average of 30 appear cheap, but a price‑to‑book of 5× and high leverage temper enthusiasm.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with bearish MACD
- High 30‑day volatility (~51%)
- Negative earnings and cash flow
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Forward EPS forecast suggests potential earnings recovery
- Low beta (0.68) indicating limited market sensitivity
- Continued debt burden and limited liquidity
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Defense and aerospace contract exposure provides stable revenue tailwinds
- Forward P/E of 2.5 versus industry average of 30 indicates deep value
- Potential turnaround if operating margins improve
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-6.90%
Profit Margin-3.43%
P/E Ratio2.5
ROE-14.09%
ROA-0.17%
Debt/Equity131.72
P/B Ratio5.0
Op. Cash Flow$143.0K
Free Cash Flow$-1831250
Industry P/E30.1
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI52.1
Support$3.75
Resistance$4.50
MA 20$4.04
MA 50$3.72
MA 200$4.51
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.34
Valuation
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.68
Volatility50.90%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.