TOST:NYSEToast, Inc. Analysis

The moving-average structure behind Toast, Inc. is bullish at $34.08, with short-term averages leading the long-term ones. Over a rolling month the price has gained 12.2%. Relative strength is 49.9 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at $33.22 and resistance at $37.20.
Valuation screens as overvalued: a P/E of 43.1 sits above the sector average of 35.3. Sell-side targets cluster 14.5% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 23.1% on a 7.1% profit margin.
Risk scores 7 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 41.4%, a beta of 1.05 and a maximum drawdown of 49.0%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 2 out of 10.