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TOPG:TASETop Group Software Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-03 - not real-time

MYR 0.68

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Top Glove is trading at MYR 0.68, barely above the computed support level of MYR 0.66 and well below its DCF‑derived fair value of MYR 1.21, implying a modest upside of roughly 6 %. The 14‑day RSI of 35 signals oversold conditions, yet the MACD remains bearish and volume is on a decreasing trend, suggesting limited short‑term momentum. The stock’s PE of 34 is notably higher than the industry average of 26, while the forward PE of 23.9 points to a potential earnings improvement but still reflects a premium valuation. Revenue growth of 31.9 % and a dividend yield of 0.71 % provide some growth and income appeal, though margins are thin (gross margin 17 %) and ROE is only 3.8 %. Recent analyst commentary notes that earnings may have peaked as Middle‑East tensions ease, tempering near‑term profit expectations, while insider buying over the past year adds a bullish nuance. High 30‑day volatility (≈40 %) and a beta near zero indicate a stock that is less correlated with broader market moves but prone to sharp price swings. Overall, the company sits in a medium‑risk segment of the healthcare‑medical supplies sector, with moderate regulatory and geographic exposures.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price is hovering just above a key support level
  • Bearish MACD and decreasing volume limit upside
  • Earnings may have peaked amid easing geopolitical demand

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value suggests ~6 % upside
  • Strong revenue growth of ~32 % supports earnings recovery
  • Insider buying indicates confidence from management

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend payout with modest yield
  • Diversified product portfolio reduces single‑product risk
  • Medium ROE and high debt‑to‑equity keep profitability modest

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth31.90%
Profit Margin4.78%
P/E Ratio34.0
ROE3.79%
ROA1.39%
Debt/Equity17.84
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash FlowMYR487.8M
Free Cash FlowMYR272.3M
Industry P/E26.4

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI35.2
SupportMYR 0.66
ResistanceMYR 0.88
MA 20MYR 0.74
MA 50MYR 0.76
MA 200MYR 0.66
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.59

Valuation

Fair ValueMYR 1.21
Target PriceMYR 0.72
Upside/Downside6.06%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.71%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.20
Volatility39.92%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.