TOMZ:NASDAQTOMI Environmental Solutions, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time
$0.69
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
TOMZ is trading at $0.694, well below its 20‑day SMA of $0.876 and the 50‑day SMA of $0.746, indicating short‑term weakness. The RSI of 36.9 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, reinforcing a cautious outlook. Volatility is extreme at roughly 99% over the past 30 days, yet the computed beta of 0.08 points to minimal market‑wide price correlation. A DCF‑derived fair value of $0.49 places the current price about 41% above intrinsic estimates, flagging the stock as potentially overvalued. Fundamentally, the company reports negative operating (‑38%) and profit margins (‑75%) and carries a staggering debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeding 620,000%, reflecting severe financial distress. However, recent press releases highlight expanded market opportunities following CDC hantavirus studies and rising global Ebola concerns, which could boost demand for TOMI’s disinfection solutions. The forward PE of 17.35 is well below the industry average of 31.23, suggesting a relative valuation discount despite the negative earnings. With a market cap of only $16 million and decreasing volume trends, liquidity is thin. The company’s debt load ($3.41 M) vastly outweighs its cash ($0.28 M), raising solvency concerns. Overall, technical weakness, high volatility, and a heavy debt burden outweigh the upside from potential market expansion.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price below short‑term moving averages
- Bearish MACD and decreasing volume
- High short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Potential demand surge from CDC/Ebola news
- Forward PE discount to industry peers
- Continued financial strain from negative margins and debt
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Fundamental turnaround required to address solvency
- Long‑term market expansion in infection control
- Valuation gap between price and DCF fair value
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth4.90%
Profit Margin-75.33%
P/E Ratio17.4
ROE-223.94%
ROA-26.74%
Debt/Equity620170.75
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow$-625403
Free Cash Flow$888.7K
Industry P/E31.2
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI37.0
Support$0.66
Resistance$1.08
MA 20$0.88
MA 50$0.75
MA 200$0.79
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.11
Valuation
Fair Value$0.49
Target Price$3.50
Upside/Downside404.25%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.08
Volatility99.08%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.