We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

TOI:NASDAQThe Oncology Institute, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-28 - not real-time

$5.39

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

The stock is trading at $5.39, comfortably above its 20‑day ($4.98), 50‑day ($4.35) and 200‑day ($3.62) simple moving averages, indicating a strong bullish price trend. RSI sits at 63, suggesting momentum remains positive but not yet overbought, while the price is supported around $4.22 and faces resistance near $5.58. The MACD histogram has turned negative and the signal line is labeled bearish, hinting at a possible short‑term pullback despite the overall bullish bias. Volatility is elevated at 66% over the past 30 days, yet beta is essentially neutral (‑0.02), so price swings appear driven by company‑specific factors rather than market moves. Analyst sentiment is very positive, with a “strong_buy” rating and a mean target of $7.75, implying upside of roughly 38‑44%.
Fundamentally, TOI generated $545 M in revenue with a robust 41% YoY growth, but margins are thin (gross 15%) and operating at a loss (operating margin ‑4.4%). Cash balances ($30 M) are far below total debt ($105 M), and a negative book value per share (‑$0.16) yields a price‑to‑book of –33. The company has no dividend and a forward PE of –33, reflecting ongoing earnings pressure. Given the low price‑to‑sales multiple (~1×) and strong top‑line growth, the equity appears undervalued relative to its growth story, though the negative earnings and high cash burn raise considerable risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price above all major SMAs indicating bullish momentum
  • Analyst mean target of $7.75 suggests near‑term upside
  • Support level at $4.22 provides downside cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • 41% revenue growth year‑over‑year
  • Price‑to‑sales ratio below 1 indicating valuation discount
  • Strong analyst consensus (strong_buy) with median target $8

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Ongoing operating losses and negative equity raise solvency concerns
  • High regulatory exposure inherent to oncology services
  • Potential for margin improvement as scale increases

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth41.20%
Profit Margin-7.97%
P/E Ratio-33.7
ROA-12.30%
P/B Ratio-33.1
Op. Cash Flow$-21814000
Free Cash Flow$-15312625
Industry P/E25.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI63.3
Support$4.22
Resistance$5.57
MA 20$4.98
MA 50$4.35
MA 200$3.62
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.55

Valuation

Target Price$7.75
Upside/Downside43.78%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.02
Volatility66.37%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.