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TNON:NASDAQTenon Medical, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time

$0.63

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Tenon Medical (TNON) is trading at $0.625, well below its 20‑day SMA of 0.66 and the 50‑day SMA of 0.73, indicating a bearish price structure. The RSI sits at 38.6, suggesting modest downside momentum but not yet oversold, while the MACD histogram is negative, reinforcing a bearish signal. Volume is trending upward, yet the stock remains near its technical support of 0.58 and well under the resistance of 0.75, limiting immediate upside. Volatility is elevated at over 58%**30‑day**, and beta of 0.92 ties the stock closely to market swings, adding to short‑term risk.
On the fundamentals side, TNON posted a 90% YoY revenue jump to $1.4 M in Q1 2026, with gross margin expanding to 68.5%, a notable improvement over the prior year. Despite the revenue surge, the company still reports negative operating and net margins, carries $4.88 M of debt against $4.61 M of cash, and shows a negative book value per share, indicating a fragile balance sheet. No dividend is paid, and cash flow remains flat. The market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment (F&G Index 86.75) and a 320% upside/downside potential highlight speculative interest, but the combination of high volatility, weak profitability, and liquidity constraints suggests caution.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term moving averages
  • Bearish MACD and RSI near neutral
  • Proximity to technical support level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • 90% YoY revenue growth and expanding gross margin
  • Potential product launch pipeline in late 2026
  • Undervalued price relative to sales multiple

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • High debt load versus cash reserves
  • Persistent negative earnings and cash flow
  • Regulatory exposure inherent to medical‑device market

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth89.90%
Profit Margin-270.09%
P/E Ratio-1.0
ROE-220.32%
ROA-55.35%
Debt/Equity257.36
P/B Ratio-6.0
Industry P/E24.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI38.6
Support$0.58
Resistance$0.75
MA 20$0.66
MA 50$0.73
MA 200$0.95
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.75

Valuation

Target Price$2.63
Upside/Downside320.00%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.92
Volatility58.18%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.