TMX:CRYPTOCAPMarket Cap TMX, $ Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-25 - not real-time
$38.32
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
TMX Group Limited trades at $38.32, with its moving averages tangled rather than clearly stacked — a neutral trend structure. The last 30 days have gained 11.6%. Relative strength is 63.1 — approaching overbought — and the MACD signal is bearish. Watch $36.26 as support and $38.78 as the nearer resistance level.
The shares look fair, trading on 24.3 times earnings above a sector average of 17.1. Revenue is growing at 15.6% on a 32.6% profit margin. The 1.81% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 5 — moderate. With 30-day volatility of 16.7%, a beta of 0.46 and a maximum drawdown of 22.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 3/10 conviction.
The shares look fair, trading on 24.3 times earnings above a sector average of 17.1. Revenue is growing at 15.6% on a 32.6% profit margin. The 1.81% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 5 — moderate. With 30-day volatility of 16.7%, a beta of 0.46 and a maximum drawdown of 22.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 3/10 conviction.
Top Market Events
Toronto, Ontario and Sydney, Australia-- Newsfile Corp.Toronto Stock Exchange, TSX Venture ExchangeToronto, Ontario-- Newsfile Corp.Seeking Alpha24dTMX Group Limited X:CA Q2 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptThank you for standing by.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 36.53
- MACD momentum is negative
- 30-day price change of +11.6%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 24.3 versus sector average of 17.1
- Trading above the 200-day average of 36.53
- MACD momentum is negative
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 24.3 versus sector average of 17.1
- Profit margin of 32.6% is healthy
- Revenue growth of +15.6%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth15.60%
Profit Margin32.55%
P/E Ratio24.3
ROE13.23%
ROA1.13%
Debt/Equity40.24
P/B Ratio3.0
Op. Cash Flow$762.4M
Free Cash Flow$580.1M
Industry P/E17.1
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI63.1
Support$36.26
Resistance$38.78
MA 20$37.68
MA 50$35.76
MA 200$36.53
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.84
Valuation
Fair Value$45.68
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.81%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.46
Volatility16.75%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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STOCKThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.