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TMO:NYSEThermo Fisher Scientific Inc Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-09 - not real-time

$509.81

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Thermo Fisher Scientific is trading at $509.81, which sits just below its 20‑day SMA of $515.83 and its 200‑day SMA of $511.47, while the 14‑day RSI of 38 suggests the stock is edging toward oversold territory. The MACD line has crossed above its signal line, generating a bullish histogram (+2.22) that hints at a short‑term price rebound, though volume has been trending down and 30‑day volatility remains elevated at 26%. Valuation metrics show a trailing P/E of 28.8, higher than the industry average of 25.4, yet the forward P/E compresses to 19, reflecting strong earnings growth expectations (forward EPS $26.89 vs trailing $17.72). The DCF‑derived fair value of $139 is far below the market price, flagging the stock as potentially overvalued, but analyst consensus projects a 30% upside with a median target of $667, supporting a growth‑oriented case.
Fundamentally, TMO delivered 7.2% revenue growth to $44.6 B, with solid profitability (operating margin 21%, net margin 15%) and robust cash generation (free cash flow $4.39 B). The dividend yield of 0.35% and a modest payout ratio of 9.7% indicate dividend sustainability. Recent news highlights a robust earnings beat, new product launches—including a Cryo‑EM drug discovery center and rapid Candida detection media—and continued strategic investments, all of which reinforce its market leadership. However, the company carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 77, which investors should monitor alongside a neutral sector outlook.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD crossover with positive histogram
  • RSI indicating near‑oversold conditions
  • Recent earnings beat and product launch momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Forward EPS growth driving a forward P/E of ~19
  • Analyst consensus median price target of $667 (+30% upside)
  • Sustained revenue growth and strong cash flow generation

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified life‑science and diagnostics platform ensuring stable demand
  • Low dividend payout ratio supporting dividend sustainability
  • Elevated debt level requiring ongoing balance‑sheet monitoring

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth7.20%
Profit Margin15.05%
P/E Ratio28.8
ROE13.02%
ROA5.03%
Debt/Equity77.25
P/B Ratio3.6
Op. Cash Flow$7.8B
Free Cash Flow$4.4B
Industry P/E25.4

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI38.2
Support$492.20
Resistance$550.95
MA 20$515.83
MA 50$566.63
MA 200$511.47
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index100

Valuation

Fair Value$139.04
Target Price$663.96
Upside/Downside30.24%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.35%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.94
Volatility26.10%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.